TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Arsenal vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,005
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,917

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,005 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b4b…2b22backed No73c9,998$7,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe902…5c3dbacked Yes27c9,993$2,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,698.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x530f…8714backed Yes28c5,056$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.67728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes4c5,014$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0710736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes27c4,649$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.173748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb54b…e482backed Yes30c4,311$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No72c3,791$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.4812359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No76c3,180$2,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77920462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Yes28c3,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8401850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Yes24c2,875$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.371741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Yes27c2,300$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6211241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No73c1,829$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.2439842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa822…64e6backed Yes28c1,370$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.493040%12 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6390…5ee8backed No73c1,330$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes20c1,232$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.610330.1%31 W · 72 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes27c1,012$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.171931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa62…dc58backed No72c995$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a56…a644backed Yes29c977.62$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.51825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f66…db66backed Yes27c965$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes28c893.11$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.077526.7%20 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Yes28c892.86$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf67c…2e50backed No73c880$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes30c833.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25021938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf02…3638backed No72c725$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e17…2e74backed Yes29c693.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54c4…471cbacked Yes28c645$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62e5…ba7dbacked No73c630$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes25c610.4$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5730754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e23…ac50backed Yes27c595$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No71c587.46$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3636851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae2d…8f7bbacked Yes29c575.55$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21e5…5942backed Yes27c575$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes27c567.79$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.34337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a7…b410backed No73c565$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No72c559.45$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.6844955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c1…8995backed Yes28c550$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed Yes28c541.07$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-75.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes28c497$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.164944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9168…4c2cbacked Yes27c490$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed No70c478$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.172462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3a4…75a4backed Yes28c445$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ba8…f9f7backed Yes23c439.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Yes30c416.67$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252025%5 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-41.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x363a…df44backed Yes28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x994f…d982backed Yes27c390$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes28c384.76$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.731338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2798…3d88backed Yes27c370.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.17633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2100…8bb9backed Yes27c370$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb20e…022bbacked Yes28c360.68$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes28c357.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x623f…395ebacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes29c345.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6fb3…330fbacked Yes28c345$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f4a…5693backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No73c305.18$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.46558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8712862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes27c278$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.064060%24 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes28c276.63$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2693…f149backed No72c275$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dab…fec6backed Yes29c270.41$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f36…4e9cbacked Yes28c267.86$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1080…b86ebacked Yes28c264.29$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7b…330abacked No73c255$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc60…a755backed Yes27c255$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6801…8b48backed No73c220$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41d5…601fbacked No73c210$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ffd…b3f8backed No73c205$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4aa…9026backed Yes29c204.77$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5811132.4%36 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No72c200$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2829138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b6a…62c5backed Yes29c191.38$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+39.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb63…accfbacked No73c190$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f90…bacebacked No73c180$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23ad…0e14backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fbc…176bbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502948.3%14 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+38.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x082b…5e67backed No73c178.08$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.082065%13 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b5…b437backed No73c175$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504619.6%9 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdba…fbb8backed No75c172.31$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed No80c157$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.44242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+403.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c16…31eabacked Yes28c148.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf758…ab6abacked Yes27c145$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ec7…f874backed Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+47.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No72c142.57$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9246956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa3…072dbacked No72c141.11$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391978.9%15 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.20per pick59cpaid+53.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0661…a72ebacked No73c140$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.81580%12 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f21…0058backed No72c133$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c7e…70ddbacked Yes28c133$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes29c126.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.673525.7%9 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf3e…d87fbacked No73c125$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes27c124.26$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5512938%49 W · 80 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No72c123.98$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.719952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f6…d90ebacked No73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa47…552bbacked No73c116.95$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a93…adb8backed Yes28c113.46$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.77425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dbf…ec66backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick40cpaid-52%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes27c110.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.854223.8%10 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.