Champions League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb717df2764cd2bc652f6ec1ad6283cf2b191787481728ac2fd546d8b1d8b921
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $532,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $517,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $532,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 413 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 55c | 108,668$59,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,215.6 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3196…146fbacked Yes | 45c | 89,633$40,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,334.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 55c | 66,666$36,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,999.63 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed No | 56c | 50,000$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,999.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Yes | 45c | 43,987$19,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,794.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516c…7082backed No | 55c | 39,900$21,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,955 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7e…21f6backed Yes | 45c | 28,700$12,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,915 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 28c | 28,083$7,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,808.93 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 44c | 24,359$10,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,718.1 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…66e5backed Yes | 45c | 21,350$9,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,607.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab46…eb4ebacked Yes | 46c | 20,660$9,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,477.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked No | 55c | 20,338$11,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,151.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…70ddbacked No | 55c | 18,550$10,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,347.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf719…987abacked Yes | 46c | 11,957$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…4673backed Yes | 48c | 7,649$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,660.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…e9e8backed Yes | 46c | 6,506$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 47c | 6,394$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecc3…2e02backed Yes | 1c | 6,060$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 55c | 6,020$3,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,738.83 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Yes | 45c | 5,774$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.34 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 44c | 5,644$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.43 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 59c | 4,700$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.56 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 78c | 4,487$3,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.9 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 44c | 4,391$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.03 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb296…cb8fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,278$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Yes | 29c | 4,212$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.71 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…a222backed Yes | 44c | 3,725$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x616d…480cbacked Yes | 45c | 3,505$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 59c | 3,286$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.56 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…c431backed Yes | 46c | 3,265$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3495…dca1backed No | 54c | 3,033$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43f…ec95backed Yes | 44c | 3,008$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f54…8805backed No | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 53c | 2,992$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.96 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9f…db18backed Yes | 44c | 2,951$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 2c | 2,832$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf04…c84fbacked Yes | 19c | 2,697$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Yes | 16c | 2,588$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.3 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 57c | 2,506$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.29 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…d3c5backed Yes | 21c | 2,498$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…0bbfbacked Yes | 45c | 2,410$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff6…3f44backed No | 54c | 2,404$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bc…f729backed No | 54c | 2,403$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…15d8backed No | 54c | 2,403$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb54b…e482backed Yes | 45c | 2,345$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83f5…31cebacked Yes | 45c | 2,338$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…b40dbacked No | 55c | 2,330$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +168.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 55c | 2,270$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.5 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf3…c367backed Yes | 45c | 2,218$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe39b…67e6backed Yes | 23c | 2,177$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.73 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d5…cc5ebacked Yes | 45c | 2,129$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 65c | 2,124$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed No | 55c | 2,017$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…252ebacked Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd656…d127backed No | 53c | 1,922$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 45c | 1,917$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.65 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 45c | 1,887$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.95 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 45c | 1,847$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.63 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 21c | 1,845$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Yes | 41c | 1,690$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9939…c0efbacked Yes | 46c | 1,526$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked No | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 34c | 1,467$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac73…12dabacked Yes | 45c | 1,465$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 46c | 1,448$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 76c | 1,429$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.98 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Yes | 33c | 1,401$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.54 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 54c | 1,358$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.61 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a5…cd84backed Yes | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Yes | 23c | 1,324$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.56 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed No | 62c | 1,324$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.23 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…650abacked Yes | 45c | 1,108$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103d…770ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,100$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…3386backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 46c | 1,078$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Yes | 44c | 1,045$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…a644backed Yes | 45c | 1,044$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,026$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.94 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…be2ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,019$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 4cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2392…0d4bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc49…3d89backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf17…da31backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…69b2backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 44c | 999.97$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.99 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf407…10f7backed Yes | 10c | 985.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked No | 56c | 909.24$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.24 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Yes | 45c | 899.99$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 26c | 889.23$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eba…217ebacked Yes | 15c | 868.55$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.84 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 47c | 744.68$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?No won
- Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.