NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab4948807a44ec40116b468fc45f6d9476f80dcabdfee5db333f5c0dd073a79b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Warriors, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $905,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $921,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $905,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Rockets | 46c | 59,747$27,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,498.85 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Warriors | 62c | 51,025$31,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,748.15 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rockets | 29c | 37,646$10,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,782.54 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…0510backed Warriors | 42c | 26,143$11,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,060.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Rockets | 50c | 24,606$12,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,425.36 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Warriors | 49c | 20,222$9,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,908.94 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…824abacked Warriors | 78c | 20,147$15,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,662.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Warriors | 42c | 18,679$7,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,838.49 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Warriors | 30c | 18,262$5,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,561.83 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Rockets | 57c | 18,235$10,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,787.29 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e6…cc3abacked Rockets | 57c | 13,250$7,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,729.99 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Warriors | 56c | 11,980$6,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,682.26 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1f…f491backed Rockets | 49c | 10,127$4,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,166.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7704…48c5backed Warriors | 46c | 10,007$4,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,603.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Rockets | 60c | 10,005$6,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,973.01 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…3e91backed Warriors | 46c | 10,005$4,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,602.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e9…d6afbacked Rockets | 54c | 10,004$5,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,601.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486d…3d63backed Rockets | 54c | 10,002$5,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,601 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e3…8476backed Warriors | 46c | 10,002$4,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…eb42backed Rockets | 54c | 10,002$5,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Warriors | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Warriors | 43c | 9,181$3,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,947.72 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f09…02b6backed Rockets | 46c | 8,669$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,702.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f08…463bbacked Warriors | 75c | 7,989$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 53c | 7,969$4,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,738.41 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Rockets | 28c | 7,731$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,533.57 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Rockets | 62c | 7,336$4,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.55 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets | 52c | 6,185$3,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,962.14 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279d…bc0ebacked Rockets | 63c | 5,934$3,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.63 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -48%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Warriors | 43c | 5,754$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.53 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Warriors | 44c | 5,573$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.74 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…d647backed Warriors | 69c | 5,455$3,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,741.73 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f3b3backed Rockets | 54c | 5,410$2,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…74d1backed Warriors | 46c | 5,410$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Warriors | 37c | 5,346$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Rockets | 56c | 5,038$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.6 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da9…fbcfbacked Warriors | 45c | 4,718$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockets | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6cf0backed Rockets | 56c | 4,463$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Warriors | 44c | 4,375$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.52 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Warriors | 37c | 4,340$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.27 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 43c | 4,029$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.21 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Rockets | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Warriors | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11b…9384backed Rockets | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Warriors | 45c | 3,900$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…93c8backed Rockets | 55c | 3,640$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Warriors | 46c | 3,578$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockets | 64c | 3,551$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.5 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…810ebacked Warriors | 1c | 3,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d1…2056backed Warriors | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Rockets | 54c | 3,500$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.98 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Warriors | 44c | 3,466$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.37 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Rockets | 55c | 3,023$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.34 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Rockets | 70c | 2,858$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.03 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockets | 54c | 2,768$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.39 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Warriors | 46c | 2,689$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Rockets | 67c | 2,648$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.05 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Rockets | 57c | 2,600$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.98 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Rockets | 12c | 2,570$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.32 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Warriors | 42c | 2,534$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Rockets | 75c | 2,489$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.41 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Warriors | 44c | 2,480$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.24 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…6bd1backed Rockets | 72c | 2,455$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.68 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Warriors | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.84 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Rockets | 54c | 2,400$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.99 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Warriors | 46c | 2,355$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8823…4c34backed Warriors | 42c | 2,320$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Rockets | 52c | 2,202$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.37 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…7cd3backed Warriors | 51c | 2,046$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.13 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Rockets | 64c | 2,000$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Warriors | 44c | 2,000$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.48 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Warriors | 36c | 1,952$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.36 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe502…4924backed Rockets | 56c | 1,938$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Rockets | 59c | 1,919$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.66 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Rockets | 55c | 1,826$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.67 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Warriors | 46c | 1,802$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.16 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…29eebacked Rockets | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17c5…e7eebacked Warriors | 45c | 1,800$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…a4ccbacked Warriors | 76c | 1,680$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.8 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Warriors | 43c | 1,632$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.25 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Rockets | 55c | 1,585$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.32 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…a74dbacked Rockets | 57c | 1,568$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.93 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x163c…9a6ebacked Rockets | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Rockets | 3c | 1,498$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.53 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1b…cd6bbacked Warriors | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Warriors | 35c | 1,365$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.75 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors | 36c | 1,360$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.54 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f6…5669backed Warriors | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Warriors | 42c | 1,330$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce73…70a9backed Rockets | 53c | 1,328$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.81 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Warriors | 1c | 1,300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…cd86backed Warriors | 41c | 1,295$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b0…b02dbacked Rockets | 56c | 1,293$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Rockets | 51c | 1,236$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.4 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…1ec6backed Warriors | 46c | 1,230$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked Warriors | 41c | 1,219$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Rockets | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Rockets | 5c | 1,179$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.88 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Warriors | 46c | 1,171$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.7 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.