MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3621305e796df5caf74f629e7d315ec023a9bbee5da809abf372662d075955b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Rays, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Rays | 50c | 20,591$10,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,295.5 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Red Sox | 50c | 17,089$8,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,544.5 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Red Sox | 54c | 10,497$5,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,802.98 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rays | 46c | 7,800$3,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,588 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Rays | 2c | 6,305$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Red Sox | 75c | 5,999$4,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.01 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rays | 39c | 5,634$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.55 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rays | 24c | 2,626$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.26 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 50c | 2,541$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.53 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Red Sox | 53c | 2,533$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.32 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Rays | 28c | 2,279$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.04 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 73c | 2,265$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.37 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Rays | 46c | 2,250$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Red Sox | 62c | 2,171$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.41 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rays | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Red Sox | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Rays | 49c | 1,998$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9dd0backed Red Sox | 57c | 1,990$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.85 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Red Sox | 50c | 1,958$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Red Sox | 75c | 1,692$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.34 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Rays | 24c | 1,665$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.57 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays | 47c | 1,602$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.2 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f2…5620backed Rays | 8c | 1,467$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27be…e3a9backed Rays | 47c | 1,330$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.91 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Rays | 17c | 1,324$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 45c | 1,299$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.75 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Red Sox | 56c | 1,253$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.73 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Red Sox | 50c | 1,080$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Rays | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rays | 26c | 986.98$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.58 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Red Sox | 52c | 888$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.24 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Red Sox | 52c | 888$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.24 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…b626backed Rays | 49c | 877$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.73 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…9462backed Red Sox | 51c | 877$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…4b92backed Rays | 44c | 824.98$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.6 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Red Sox | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 33c | 775.89$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.13 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rays | 45c | 655.12$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.8 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Rays | 54c | 535.55$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.84 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rays | 43c | 502.45$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.3 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Red Sox | 66c | 500.2$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.65 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rays | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Rays | 48c | 427.08$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.09 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 49c | 399.8$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.9 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rays | 45c | 377$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.65 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Rays | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Red Sox | 67c | 299$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Red Sox | 79c | 297.32$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Rays | 46c | 283.26$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.3 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Red Sox | 68c | 267.04$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked Red Sox | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Red Sox | 70c | 252.69$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.87 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Rays | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Rays | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…81f0backed Rays | 20c | 229.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rays | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Rays | 24c | 204.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Rays | 49c | 195.16$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Red Sox | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Red Sox | 74c | 178.65$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Rays | 46c | 173.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Rays | 21c | 164.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Rays | 47c | 164$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rays | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Rays | 8c | 158.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Red Sox | 51c | 155.29$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.09 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…1d01backed Red Sox | 56c | 142.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.11 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Rays | 33c | 130$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Red Sox | 51c | 118.95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Rays | 50c | 118$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fef…5053backed Rays | 47c | 114.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a3…7ba2backed Red Sox | 53c | 111.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…b69abacked Rays | 20c | 109.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Rays | 40c | 103$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Red Sox | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…7153backed Red Sox | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Rays | 46c | 95.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Red Sox | 50c | 94.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 496 | 50.2%249 W · 247 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rays | 50c | 94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Rays | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Rays | 50c | 90.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Rays | 27c | 84.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 71c | 84.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801c…a495backed Rays | 37c | 79.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…3bcabacked Red Sox | 78c | 78.84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Red Sox | 50c | 76.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Rays | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Rays | 26c | 74.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rays | 38c | 69.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rays | 46c | 61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Red Sox | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc811…a5b9backed Red Sox | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Rays | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Rays | 46c | 58.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…db7abacked Rays | 40c | 54.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 75c | 50.12$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.