NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Predators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e52856425a1c65f2c27165f2e353cfe23b9e775ad78e673649a889b816c3133
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Panthers, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Panthers | 59c | 12,984$7,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,323.51 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Predators | 7c | 7,945$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.05 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Predators | 41c | 7,135$2,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926.89 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Predators | 41c | 5,461$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.45 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Predators | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Predators | 2c | 2,411$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Predators | 39c | 2,050$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.39 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…b238backed Panthers | 61c | 2,002$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Predators | 41c | 1,133$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.67 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Predators | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Predators | 41c | 915$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.15 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Predators | 47c | 625$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.72 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…a557backed Panthers | 59c | 570.79$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.02 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…7f76backed Predators | 41c | 555$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Predators | 41c | 499.97$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Panthers | 65c | 461.98$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.34 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Predators | 40c | 382.1$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.84 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Predators | 43c | 351.16$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Predators | 9c | 249.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…5b67backed Panthers | 59c | 248.27$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Panthers | 59c | 244$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Predators | 7c | 178.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Panthers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Predators | 11c | 161.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb2…6507backed Predators | 42c | 156.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Predators | 40c | 130.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Predators | 42c | 130$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Predators | 41c | 124.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6a…ea96backed Predators | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcd…c913backed Panthers | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda0b…5b2bbacked Predators | 27c | 118$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…f6a4backed Panthers | 73c | 118$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…3e1ebacked Panthers | 60c | 108.43$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c24…cf59backed Predators | 50c | 104$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…dd54backed Panthers | 60c | 102.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Panthers | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Predators | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Panthers | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Predators | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Panthers | 58c | 99.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0755…b1fdbacked Panthers | 61c | 99.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Panthers | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Panthers | 59c | 84.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Panthers | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Predators | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 157 | 30.6%48 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5494…50f5backed Panthers | 60c | 77.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6710…00c9backed Panthers | 69c | 72.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -7.8wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Predators | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…a210backed Predators | 42c | 71.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Predators | 38c | 56.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Panthers | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x818d…24ddbacked Predators | 42c | 56.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Predators | 41c | 55.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Predators | 43c | 48.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…e938backed Panthers | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…28d8backed Predators | 42c | 40.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6530…ed18backed Predators | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b8…c972backed Panthers | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77c…cb14backed Panthers | 60c | 33.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…2e4dbacked Panthers | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 86 | 69.8%60 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Panthers | 60c | 28.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf028…2570backed Predators | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f52…fbf7backed Predators | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Predators | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 397 | 57.2%227 W · 170 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Panthers | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…ccd3backed Panthers | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0a…7bc7backed Panthers | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…f58ebacked Panthers | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ec…faf4backed Panthers | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7183…dcc3backed Predators | 42c | 25.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…db7abacked Panthers | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2364…89e0backed Panthers | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6248…9776backed Panthers | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…04d8backed Panthers | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…8c2bbacked Panthers | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.