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Champions League · resolved market

Will Borussia Dortmund beat Club Brugge?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,797
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,797 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b32…5950backed No51c6,087$3,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,117.315442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked No52c4,962$2,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,559.459038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaff2…7ecabacked Yes46c4,263$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No51c3,735$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.135250%26 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a12…01cebacked No55c3,286$1,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807.071040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f47…af93backed No54c3,137$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.531741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0767…0901backed Yes49c2,388$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.06580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed No51c2,176$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.324759.6%28 W · 19 L+8.2wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+45.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0403056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No55c1,774$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.1922647.3%107 W · 119 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes50c1,300$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64713847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefbb…9a15backed Yes49c1,297$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked No52c1,250$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.994641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes48c1,174$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.444351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd13…e6f1backed No4c1,075$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick4cpaid+304%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7724…7e7abacked Yes49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.411070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49d8…3083backed Yes53c933.18$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.171729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1820…e3f7backed Yes39c800$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4922839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a20…101cbacked No4c624.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2560%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Yes45c600$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ad3…845cbacked Yes48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x467c…6213backed No52c584.5$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f77…924ebacked No52c531.99$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40fb…4496backed Yes49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05ff…b701backed Yes51c484.74$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.742540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes48c463.42$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.9815250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No51c448.01$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.4917348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd244…f24cbacked Yes49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.163339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb461…d1dabacked Yes49c377.88$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.72425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x232e…e9fdbacked Yes51c372.9$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aaa…77b7backed No55c362.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004837.5%18 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked No53c330$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.93360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa649…cce2backed Yes45c289.64$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.3850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28c9…5769backed Yes50c281.63$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.631450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1823…b0fcbacked Yes57c264.74$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda7e…f487backed Yes48c212$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+107.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x68bb…812cbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38d1…8eb2backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f2c…4cf3backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf795…2f51backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae7c…6d3bbacked Yes48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…a9c2backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe29…63e5backed Yes49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1023253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7e…4562backed Yes44c199.96$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.981050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x501a…d46dbacked Yes45c196.51$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.08771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde70…0039backed Yes46c196$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.84650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe227…55d8backed Yes52c192.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.594045%18 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6780…f913backed Yes48c164.58$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.581258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd493…2b96backed Yes48c154.44$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee56…bba5backed Yes49c145.9$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.41837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8a5…67acbacked Yes46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.43742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x464e…7bd8backed Yes46c125$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.51643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes49c124.75$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.451844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa715…a8bcbacked Yes49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.45757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Yes46c110$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.41145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a9d…39b7backed Yes45c104.49$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.47425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc465…fcfbbacked Yes48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.17650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6324…95b9backed Yes53c103.32$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.56825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e21…4d75backed Yes49c103.16$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.613250%16 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x509f…8fb7backed Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041625%4 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Yes47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.67266.7%48 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50f9…88e7backed Yes48c95.56$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.241154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes45c88.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.855839.7%23 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No55c81.12$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.628653.5%46 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf135…6fa0backed Yes48c71.59$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.229252.2%48 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c10…8aacbacked Yes48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b3…0a31backed Yes48c54.41$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5616…a88cbacked Yes46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.35520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x59ac…ad05backed Yes48c54.19$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01a6…6440backed Yes48c53.36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+47%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8a…ebd9backed Yes51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.021250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x293b…321abacked No52c47.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x538a…bd78backed Yes45c46.31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.472133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85fe…542bbacked Yes50c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5be…8728backed Yes45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.44742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7777…f2bbbacked Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.48560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5db…ee3dbacked Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.48560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b49…9fe8backed Yes50c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ea…158dbacked Yes48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6817…2404backed Yes48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+51.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8cd…1402backed Yes49c41.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.21560%9 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+70.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x007a…7f5ebacked Yes49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.823630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ea4…e097backed Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda01…c24abacked Yes47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c1…56f0backed No53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-54%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x167f…1f51backed Yes46c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+65%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ba…99c7backed No52c34.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6330…db7abacked Yes45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.331145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa440…dfddbacked Yes51c33.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99a4…e6cabacked Yes48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe016…642abacked Yes46c31.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+46%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…dd5fbacked Yes50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed No52c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.54252.4%22 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff42…83e5backed No54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151225%3 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-57.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.