Champions League · resolved market
Will Club Brugge beat Borussia Dortmund?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0704bb509176e2510050be287e820e1af49d9b286f20b4dceddcb5639e2a72c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 28c | 78,119$21,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,807.58 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 71c | 55,762$39,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,903.72 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked No | 72c | 21,932$15,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,191.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 76c | 10,080$7,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453.51 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d2…cfb1backed No | 76c | 9,667$7,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 24c | 6,300$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.94 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 26c | 5,300$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 29c | 5,168$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.56 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Yes | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -67%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 24c | 3,669$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.52 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed Yes | 25c | 1,250$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,250$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed No | 3c | 1,166$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.02 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 4cpaid | +304%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 74c | 400.04$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.01 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 15c | 370.86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…366cbacked No | 72c | 139.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb6…df1cbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 75c | 103.7$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa649…cce2backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa4…247ebacked Yes | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb5…3683backed No | 76c | 66.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Yes | 28c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…fb48backed No | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc698…d6e3backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…676abacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…803ebacked Yes | 28c | 46.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…c7a6backed Yes | 28c | 46.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac57…4c43backed Yes | 25c | 44.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fed…c1b2backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 74c | 23.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e4…7cc7backed No | 74c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Brugge beat Borussia Dortmund?this page
- Will Borussia Dortmund beat Club Brugge?Yes won
- Will Club Brugge vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.