Champions League · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig beat Atletico Madrid?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3ee98b7cba815aeaa15d4088f33358ca6211ff9c24426e9dd0374a58df224bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 19c | 1,877$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.54 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,099$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.03 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 19c | 1,049$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.32 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes | 21c | 954.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 19c | 662.54$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.26 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 80c | 656$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 80c | 299.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9d…39b7backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 36c | 208.43$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.78 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff25…1738backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…9b67backed Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 17c | 120.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e21…4d75backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 19c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…db7abacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4a…d87abacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca7…9a7abacked Yes | 20c | 65.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2431…cabebacked No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…a705backed No | 80c | 23.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd5…df81backed No | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b88…7b00backed Yes | 70c | 15.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd3…d4a8backed No | 80c | 13.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig beat Atletico Madrid?this page
- Will Atletico Madrid beat RB Leipzig?Yes won
- Will the match between Atletico Madrid vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.