TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Manchester United beat Viktoria Plzen?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,564
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,105

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,564 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed No66c30,538$20,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,094.64173.2%30 W · 11 L+5.9wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+29.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3371…18d5backed Yes22c9,916$2,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,734.553100%3 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+314.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73b7…9360backed Yes50c8,385$4,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,196.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked Yes22c6,000$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,699.41163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+67.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No39c4,529$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.079145.1%41 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes60c3,626$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.233672.2%26 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes57c3,401$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No38c2,042$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.7418244%80 W · 102 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes59c1,816$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.8127939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes44c1,751$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.251323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed No73c1,200$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-41.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4292…9cd8backed Yes35c1,130$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.82837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No42c1,111$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.628545.9%39 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No49c1,110$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.2453564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes26c1,059$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.4210539%41 W · 64 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed No43c1,004$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.73520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-67.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes23c1,000$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+89.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No35c999.98$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.997862.8%49 W · 29 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed No43c962.8$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4111040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8637…9657backed No63c799$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…dc53backed Yes65c787.62$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b0…529bbacked Yes60c640.22$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.09425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c7…6628backed Yes55c564.81$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x464e…7bd8backed Yes61c505.4$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20010452.9%55 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31e4…1f69backed Yes61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes61c478.16$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.332846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x710c…ee60backed No73c459.1$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.05560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa768…0ad1backed Yes65c430.46$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…3312backed Yes65c413.94$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.94771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+101.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes59c391.61$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.561435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed No41c390.24$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No40c339.53$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9518739%73 W · 114 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No46c335.17$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9217835.4%63 W · 115 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…269bbacked Yes64c316.25$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No40c303$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0810953.2%58 W · 51 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No40c302.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.081560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11713552.6%71 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e09…3cb2backed No9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afa…7953backed Yes67c298.48$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d4…80a7backed Yes63c250.35$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed No47c230.82$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.84812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick48cpaid-63.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Yes57c228.07$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.071369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+48.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x484c…017ebacked Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.27580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+54.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8020655.3%114 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Yes51c186.27$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.27812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-75.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes64c184.28$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.28757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes60c174.8$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+53.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8815…e147backed Yes64c172.28$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.02728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b31…9d8cbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-52.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes22c155$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.98345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes65c154$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd7…547dbacked Yes66c150.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.313100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6012737%47 W · 80 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe763…3d69backed Yes59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes62c131.75$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.953551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…38b4backed Yes52c120.98$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Yes58c116.58$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.96825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-61.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe48e…8f7dbacked Yes43c109.98$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.79450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbc…c301backed Yes59c100.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Yes58c100.03$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.731442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Yes61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394261.9%26 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7f…d498backed Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2946…bc4ebacked Yes64c92.21$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes55c90.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.483016.7%5 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-70.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes61c90.43$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.593063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa004…290ebacked Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+51.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6330…db7abacked Yes61c82.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes64c75.56$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6079…5693backed Yes27c75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+64.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45db…099cbacked Yes67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b1…857ebacked Yes61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.573100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+112.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe227…55d8backed No40c63.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.541464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed Yes59c60.53$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.821080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+40.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x66e7…e316backed Yes60c55.46$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.181050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a7b…7bc3backed Yes64c54.28$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.54425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9c5…67e0backed Yes63c50.86$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+35.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c05…fc5ebacked Yes64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30bc…2529backed No50c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50a5…88a6backed Yes61c41.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.244100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+68.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8267…5346backed Yes61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea1…d42abacked Yes37c40.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+169.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe608…0c2cbacked No40c38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4442…d5c1backed Yes65c35.43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.43837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d4f…99f0backed Yes61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.792040%8 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd81…f9edbacked Yes53c30.53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf842…682dbacked Yes38c28.95$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No36c27.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0837926.1%99 W · 280 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f0…a651backed Yes64c26.35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd431…63bbbacked Yes60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-38.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e8d…3497backed Yes61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e25…8e9bbacked Yes63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.811266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x461a…1ae0backed Yes61c21.56$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a8…8d58backed Yes60c18.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.33771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7c…2921backed Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.