CS2 · resolved market
Will MOUZ win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99c90bc879652ffc19eacfea940a0666205b448146cf48cf19d9ca827a3ab3ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb046…a7dcbacked Yes | 14c | 3,851$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Yes | 21c | 1,932$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.25 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Yes | 10c | 1,579$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.16 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 23c | 1,216$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 16c | 1,088$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.39 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4409…bc0bbacked Yes | 8c | 759.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Yes | 6c | 687.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0835…c0abbacked Yes | 20c | 540.76$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 5c | 446.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…901abacked Yes | 9c | 422.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…45cfbacked Yes | 19c | 415.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yes | 40c | 386.96$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 10c | 268$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed No | 80c | 163.09$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…1eabbacked Yes | 7c | 156.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…5cfbbacked Yes | 63c | 109.46$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 16c | 107$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 52c | 84.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…db7abacked Yes | 23c | 72.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea3…c450backed No | 70c | 49.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e5…ac84backed No | 69c | 49.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…7c83backed No | 76c | 15.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will MOUZ win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?this page
- Will FaZe Clan win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?No won
- Will G2 Esports win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?No won
- Will GamerLegion win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?No won
- Will HEROIC win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?No won
- Will Team Liquid win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?No won
- Will Team Spirit win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?Yes won
- Will Team Vitality win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?No won
- Will The MongolZ win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.