TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will Team Spirit win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,303

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,492 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb046…a7dcbacked Yes53c11,631$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,430.81633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-43.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x061e…8e2fbacked No47c9,743$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.591216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-69.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked No10c6,111$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No46c3,690$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa501…9f0fbacked Yes59c2,743$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.121145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fcd…8dd0backed Yes19c2,641$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,140.9417243%74 W · 98 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f8…3a3cbacked Yes59c2,631$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01ba…1857backed Yes60c2,500$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.31540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked No34c2,179$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.04616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-73.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43dd…5291backed Yes78c1,895$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked No2c1,788$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Yes56c1,755$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95cd…32d0backed Yes54c1,700$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.291040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Yes40c1,621$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.3815251.3%78 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Yes10c1,377$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.6221645.4%98 W · 118 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a346backed Yes68c1,184$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.584942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No28c1,177$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.0229547.8%141 W · 154 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes51c1,091$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.396144.3%27 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb2…3e05backed Yes58c1,000$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4181931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4409…bc0bbacked Yes18c837.63$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.293821.1%8 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-47.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…a651backed Yes43c829.05$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes59c761.12$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.5313146.6%61 W · 70 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab5f…aab9backed Yes79c754.29$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Yes15c705.19$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.031338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed No33c573.82$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.158737.9%33 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes27c490.76$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.12330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-42.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd683…864abacked Yes60c484.84$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes52c473.85$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.484560%27 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+32.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x990b…c30ebacked Yes27c458.29$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.731729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea01…c767backed Yes16c440$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+56.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x483e…2d6bbacked Yes59c434$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00c1…5b99backed Yes59c415.58$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.822227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-40.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x65cb…51c8backed Yes48c412.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1013…45cfbacked Yes30c387.11$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.8333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked No9c377.14$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Yes28c366.96$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.0213315.8%21 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ee…cf2cbacked Yes58c341.99$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.31450%7 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked No44c301.58$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7320855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed Yes16c294.02$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.67440.5%30 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeeee…ccb7backed Yes24c293.94$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+108%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes50c278.55$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7c…5947backed No19c267.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508629.1%25 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8503…dac9backed Yes77c262.83$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-56.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb1f…ce9bbacked No75c260.37$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+198.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3bc…927abacked Yes33c247.73$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.73633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes28c235.53$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.661926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4128…ac13backed Yes59c226.81$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0b4…d47dbacked No42c226.73$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed No54c223.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.29666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+74.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ea…97b2backed No42c214.8$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3016…9b41backed Yes60c214.05$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad13…804fbacked Yes59c203.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed No74c200.17$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.68425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-66.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8081244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cbb…fc88backed Yes26c191.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.668137%30 W · 51 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes42c190.69$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6910738.3%41 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9059…1496backed Yes42c190$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.01771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cde…67d0backed Yes37c190$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb868…a94ebacked Yes31c189.13$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.693633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0256…d875backed Yes74c176.02$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3510…2238backed Yes58c171.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeecf…4270backed Yes59c168.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e00…d922backed Yes60c168.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.04728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ddb…63b8backed Yes12c167.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+737.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Yes15c166$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.932142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x187d…9b50backed Yes15c161.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.555244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea3…c450backed No48c158.68$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90fa…4922backed No42c151.08$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1c1…f571backed Yes60c150.25$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fba…bdbdbacked Yes13c148.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+272.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde1…187fbacked Yes60c140.21$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa021…b489backed Yes40c140$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccec…d7e7backed Yes29c137.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.97425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Yes13c129.83$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.97333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+156.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd7…a6a1backed Yes59c125.24$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5338…7c0dbacked Yes59c124.47$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1112…65a9backed Yes80c123.84$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Yes53c122.46$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.512055%11 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf046…3cb3backed Yes36c120.23$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+179%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a0…111abacked Yes59c105.98$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.457630.3%23 W · 53 L-9.8wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-32%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked Yes10c105$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.792030%6 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2abc…b515backed Yes43c105$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.02450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes19c103.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1130748.9%150 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d2…0f35backed Yes59c101.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb41b…36bebacked Yes24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…a677backed Yes16c100$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+107%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62cf…5826backed Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked No21c96.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-56.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x578c…e85fbacked Yes60c95.92$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec2…cdcdbacked Yes59c94.85$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.28728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c54…cc1ebacked Yes17c92$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.361844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-14%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde4b…64cfbacked Yes58c85.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09f1…4cb9backed No18c85.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b6…0581backed Yes59c84.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81eb…e83fbacked Yes60c83.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda69…5630backed No42c83.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes54c81.3$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes74c81$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.882722.2%6 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68ca…68b0backed Yes25c80.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.71944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69b8…bccfbacked No47c76.76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.