CS2 · resolved market
Will Team Vitality win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd284cfc13bdde027ac886bb7bdaf5845c7f39902e6ea4504b403e8bc4d399d08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Yes | 26c | 2,100$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 28c | 960.87$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.04 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 28c | 832.3$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.12 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 76c | 824.12$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.79 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d4…f46abacked Yes | 2c | 710$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdd…31acbacked No | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked No | 80c | 639.22$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4409…bc0bbacked Yes | 26c | 562.89$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.28 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…3589backed Yes | 37c | 506.03$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e7…6cd3backed Yes | 38c | 479.97$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0a…7898backed Yes | 28c | 466.64$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.81 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed Yes | 27c | 450$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced6…8da7backed Yes | 15c | 380.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 72c | 374.96$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked No | 71c | 369.99$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7f26backed Yes | 24c | 254.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…b5a3backed No | 72c | 252.57$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1516…b455backed Yes | 31c | 243.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 72c | 242.97$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7b…7bc3backed Yes | 29c | 230.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 74c | 225.98$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 25c | 208.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8e2fbacked Yes | 43c | 202.08$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.93 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…a677backed Yes | 30c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +107%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…bfb9backed Yes | 24c | 185.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…fa44backed Yes | 14c | 179.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1297…d5f6backed Yes | 23c | 174.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Yes | 25c | 170.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 29c | 170$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 37c | 162.89$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…3636backed No | 71c | 157.09$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…927abacked Yes | 14c | 138.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 57c | 138.08$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 71c | 135.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 53c | 129.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c04…820abacked Yes | 33c | 122.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3575…24b9backed Yes | 28c | 117.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050c…bf27backed Yes | 29c | 115.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe135…7f76backed Yes | 31c | 112.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed Yes | 37c | 111.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb7…c204backed Yes | 29c | 107.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8503…dac9backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8439…432abacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…4a1cbacked Yes | 30c | 103.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…68b0backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187d…9b50backed Yes | 30c | 83.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked No | 69c | 64.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fa…7f82backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…d861backed Yes | 29c | 64.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…2307backed Yes | 31c | 63.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 61c | 58.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 56c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa947…72c9backed Yes | 30c | 54.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Yes | 22c | 51.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 27c | 43.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…94d6backed Yes | 30c | 43.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…1eabbacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…a7dcbacked Yes | 35c | 36.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3299…04bcbacked Yes | 28c | 36.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe621…5c68backed No | 73c | 36.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b23…7f3abacked Yes | 28c | 35.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 62c | 34.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Vitality win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?this page
- Will FaZe Clan win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?No won
- Will G2 Esports win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?No won
- Will GamerLegion win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?No won
- Will HEROIC win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?No won
- Will MOUZ win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?No won
- Will Team Liquid win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?No won
- Will Team Spirit win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?Yes won
- Will The MongolZ win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.