CS2 · resolved market
Will The MongolZ win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd98bf841ff8b043289091ee5ebaa51799953a5e79235e24ac1e2badea0dc345b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf728…2283backed Yes | 13c | 2,720$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Yes | 13c | 1,599$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.87 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4409…bc0bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,544$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.99 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes | 14c | 991.59$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.49 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0a…7898backed Yes | 16c | 820$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.38 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83a…6933backed Yes | 14c | 732.6$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1297…d5f6backed Yes | 16c | 730.7$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 5c | 730.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8c…65debacked Yes | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 4c | 501.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f7…9769backed Yes | 8c | 442.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 17c | 434.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29e0…830bbacked Yes | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…9800backed Yes | 13c | 388.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced6…8da7backed Yes | 13c | 310$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ac…6a42backed Yes | 15c | 268.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05fc…a031backed Yes | 14c | 218.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7f26backed Yes | 14c | 198.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1b…2309backed Yes | 13c | 178.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 160.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dac…ff25backed Yes | 13c | 140.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe608…0c2cbacked Yes | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked No | 78c | 118.82$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed Yes | 17c | 117.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58bf…34f3backed Yes | 14c | 115.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dc…7f4cbacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…68b0backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…7a99backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…a94ebacked Yes | 18c | 97.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb7…c204backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…aa64backed Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 17c | 82.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2151…2628backed Yes | 16c | 79.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…a8f7backed Yes | 16c | 71.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…fe9cbacked Yes | 15c | 65.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b95…7159backed Yes | 16c | 63.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +240.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…01c2backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +213.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec2…cdcdbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…a3b4backed Yes | 23c | 60.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9b…ef70backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will The MongolZ win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?this page
- Will FaZe Clan win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?No won
- Will G2 Esports win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?No won
- Will GamerLegion win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?No won
- Will HEROIC win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?No won
- Will MOUZ win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?No won
- Will Team Liquid win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?No won
- Will Team Spirit win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?Yes won
- Will Team Vitality win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.