TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will G2 Esports win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,859
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,859 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaf2d…673fbacked Yes38c2,576$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.471050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47ee…4ab8backed Yes17c1,898$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.3616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf745…d12cbacked Yes56c1,584$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No76c1,333$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.92330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-42.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ba…1857backed Yes48c1,005$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.18540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Yes23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23015251.3%78 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes23c744.03$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8146340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4409…bc0bbacked Yes18c655.44$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.963821.1%8 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-47.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No64c595.15$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.5164552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes38c578.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x660d…3589backed Yes31c491.15$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a346backed Yes21c471.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad0a…7898backed Yes26c438.17$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.395637.5%21 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Yes39c395.56$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.969647.9%46 W · 50 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb046…a7dcbacked Yes24c394.25$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-43.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2abc…b515backed No70c388.13$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.01450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed No24c324.41$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.82666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+74.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8503…dac9backed Yes45c309.17$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-56.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Yes24c301.83$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.15425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-66.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e77…a677backed Yes21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+107%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes19c299.47$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0529547.8%141 W · 154 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeeee…ccb7backed Yes25c275$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+108%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb39a…7a99backed Yes35c269.43$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Yes40c250.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Yes17c247.06$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.091338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No79c246.32$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.310650%53 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked No77c241$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-56.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dac…8e45backed Yes30c231.34$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5656…a885backed Yes22c220$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x05fc…a031backed Yes23c217.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57ee…7f26backed No79c213$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.73425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-68.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Yes22c202.15$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.052142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed Yes19c186.85$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.57440.5%30 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf4a…cacabacked Yes17c179.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8069…fb38backed Yes30c173.38$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef17…6583backed Yes13c164.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Yes22c160.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x983f…fd5ebacked Yes21c153.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No78c148.45$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.784151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa021…b489backed Yes33c143$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda4b…cfd1backed Yes24c140$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Yes16c138.08$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.192055%11 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb1b…2309backed Yes22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d4…58d0backed Yes23c136$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Yes26c129.64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.09333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+156.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x943a…d6bdbacked Yes25c128$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98f4…eadebacked Yes46c126.52$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-78.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a8c…65debacked No74c126.42$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4944…2aadbacked No75c123.6$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1297…d5f6backed Yes23c121.17$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3150%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc9…24dcbacked Yes24c120.78$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5760%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x300d…11d3backed Yes22c120$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c41…5cd2backed Yes29c119.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.16580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7514…49bebacked Yes31c114.53$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3531758%184 W · 133 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc277…1758backed Yes23c111.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x260d…9679backed Yes20c110.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0440%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa75f…1f89backed Yes28c108.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-51.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ac…8f1abacked Yes23c105$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb6d…4ba7backed Yes40c103.45$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…68b0backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb41b…36bebacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfebd…ef0bbacked Yes24c98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddea…28c8backed No61c97.56$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b07…b987backed Yes31c97.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad13…804fbacked Yes21c96.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc85c…0f6abacked Yes31c81.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbafa…b5a3backed Yes22c80.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-54%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fc6…1eabbacked Yes28c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf176…c477backed Yes41c76.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ac4…14f1backed Yes25c70$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.54531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95cd…32d0backed No56c69.61$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.521040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed No60c64.89$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.94933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+95.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa370…6b5bbacked Yes24c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffb1…b23ebacked No61c59.68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c5…9ebcbacked Yes21c58.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c04…820abacked Yes26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d40…5cacbacked Yes31c57.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…f7d7backed Yes37c55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c3…bfb9backed Yes20c52.53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38fc…fa44backed Yes44c45.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fc0…5cdbbacked No75c42$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21cf…8320backed Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3185…7c83backed No64c37.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No55c36.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x746e…9c4cbacked Yes39c34.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x047f…c0b4backed Yes41c32.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed No67c31.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.511323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-42.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cbb…fc88backed No66c30.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.158137%30 W · 51 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe278…cb5cbacked Yes40c25.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.426650.8%135 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.