TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Atalanta win on 2025-02-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,117
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,575

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,117 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes43c16,138$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0002842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x178e…76f7backed No57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,299.992138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No56c9,311$5,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,102.135754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes44c6,842$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.4610931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No57c5,969$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,548.9317658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No57c3,825$2,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.9939842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Yes1c3,327$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.272313%3 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-68%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No55c3,300$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.6636851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Yes11c3,125$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.99244.6%41 W · 51 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed No58c2,070$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.377844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5502…207ebacked Yes42c2,003$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.061258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No59c2,000$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.893655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86013139.7%52 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No56c1,922$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.0838048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes37c1,898$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.2413847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Yes42c1,542$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.02520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-73.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No73c1,432$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.6230754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes45c1,400$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6303748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No57c1,338$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.9319453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Yes43c1,023$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4404835.4%17 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41024742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No57c999.99$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43019645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd19f…cfaabacked Yes42c805.19$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3392962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+59%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No57c758.31$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.828748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011735.9%42 W · 75 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No67c646.11$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.9512147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes33c618.97$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.264621.7%10 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9140…cf5ebacked Yes42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x034b…8bc0backed No58c497.69$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.67862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f84…be09backed Yes42c482.95$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.84825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes42c476.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.28638.4%33 W · 53 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71bd…50d2backed Yes42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a0…3d33backed Yes42c473.88$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.03580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+69.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No58c463.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1838356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No58c437.58$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8516836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes27c419.46$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5911443%49 W · 65 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes36c414.04$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14916447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25ab…84f7backed Yes44c411.69$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8550%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd104…7c02backed Yes43c352.34$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508142%34 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes43c350.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5311132.4%36 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012333.3%41 W · 82 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0710…42a2backed No74c318.42$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.421855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb36a…6814backed Yes43c287.56$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.65540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa293…2919backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes22c217.39$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3c8…a8d1backed Yes47c213.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-53.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x212a…dbe8backed Yes47c213.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.255133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfe8…fcabbacked Yes46c210$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x706b…7d13backed Yes48c208.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410743%46 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd9…1095backed No65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf0f…addabacked Yes46c173.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804259.5%25 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed No58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes35c168.59$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.93033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc754…c74dbacked No55c162.93$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed No59c162.71$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.712544%11 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4cc…0d55backed Yes48c158.83$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaff0…3e1fbacked Yes26c153.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.011844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a5…50b7backed Yes47c153.19$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9594…eefabacked No56c143.46$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.46580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+66.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed Yes42c142.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010040%40 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a1…13bebacked Yes43c137.21$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed No58c136.98$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.693946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No57c136.15$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7546956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fa…4ff0backed Yes42c127.46$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06af…086ebacked Yes43c114.79$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508433.3%28 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4429…2e4dbacked Yes36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-44.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x50eb…6328backed Yes48c110.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb330…bbe0backed Yes46c109.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdba…4998backed No55c109.05$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes47c107.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4334449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4241…b6ebbacked Yes42c98.91$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.54742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3792…dc66backed Yes42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e8…2e6dbacked Yes15c94.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.92356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…74d6backed Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254022.5%9 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9122547.6%107 W · 118 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7de…53b4backed No58c80.8$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x847a…57cbbacked No59c79.71$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5e2…3dd0backed No59c77.09$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda08…08f9backed No59c74.36$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f35…7521backed No54c74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd2…f6ecbacked Yes42c73.46$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca65…3dbbbacked Yes47c73$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf01d…4864backed Yes43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1d4…2f06backed Yes36c69.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+65.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40e8…c1febacked Yes46c67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92b1…3e1fbacked Yes37c66.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97df…3088backed Yes25c65.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.125349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcea5…e0c1backed Yes42c63.64$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db8…2b91backed No58c61.83$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc707…317fbacked No54c61.36$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No52c60.42$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2944955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a7…c72fbacked Yes43c60.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.25518.2%10 W · 45 L-10.3wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-46.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8b0e…e8fabacked Yes42c59.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.