Champions League · resolved market
Will Club Brugge vs. Atalanta end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f264c358917d32b4f6b9b5624417dc3fada221f91aab186717b3ea8a024ccf9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde32…700cbacked Yes | 51c | 1,500$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 39c | 1,418$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.65 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00fb…b3c6backed No | 72c | 1,006$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…e6a2backed Yes | 73c | 750$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 28c | 658.43$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.36 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 626.26$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.9 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 50c | 615.36$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.05 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…64adbacked Yes | 32c | 534.38$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 28c | 488.48$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.88 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47e…058bbacked Yes | 30c | 480$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 69c | 454.23$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.94 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…c5f7backed Yes | 30c | 433.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b35…55a8backed No | 72c | 424.77$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f9…4038backed No | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…67b5backed No | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed No | 25c | 396.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.3 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d2…8c71backed No | 72c | 375$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 28c | 361.4$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d9e1backed Yes | 30c | 333.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…0821backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e63…6a34backed Yes | 29c | 269.79$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 55c | 268.71$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.79 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 71c | 216.45$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…a8d1backed Yes | 30c | 170.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…84f7backed Yes | 72c | 161.35$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3792…dc66backed Yes | 57c | 129.02$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…946dbacked No | 72c | 117.51$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed No | 62c | 91.11$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…ac75backed No | 15c | 86.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a1…13bebacked No | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…40c0backed No | 63c | 78.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa611…28f1backed No | 72c | 77.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…d87fbacked No | 72c | 72.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 31c | 66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225a…0492backed No | 71c | 54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…97c3backed Yes | 29c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked No | 72c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 29c | 39.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…06e0backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…a05fbacked Yes | 56c | 20.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…fccdbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4172…0faabacked No | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Brugge vs. Atalanta end in a draw?this page
- Will Atalanta win on 2025-02-12?No won
- Will Club Brugge win on 2025-02-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.