Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle beat Bournemouth?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92b4a0985ebb0a74d6c871870d96449fbb57b5f077ea9ee8125a976d8557d049
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x282e…00f3backed Yes | 38c | 1,595$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 59c | 1,405$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.86 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 63c | 1,251$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 56c | 741.23$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.96 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8aa…1342backed Yes | 40c | 675.12$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.3 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 56c | 633.53$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.69 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed No | 62c | 615.79$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1c96backed Yes | 38c | 573.68$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 59c | 545.37$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.6 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 44c | 500$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.09 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 56c | 257.95$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe338…5760backed Yes | 16c | 208.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…0a62backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.6wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…46cbbacked Yes | 42c | 199.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f9…fe71backed Yes | 44c | 190$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…2ec0backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 39c | 168.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf53f…4bc5backed Yes | 17c | 166.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…4b9cbacked Yes | 38c | 131$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a3…d74fbacked Yes | 45c | 112.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…c9b5backed Yes | 40c | 107.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…3f6bbacked Yes | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 63c | 102$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…990dbacked No | 58c | 89.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed No | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0a…6758backed Yes | 44c | 68.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc751…990ebacked Yes | 44c | 62.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c93…ee15backed Yes | 44c | 62.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 43c | 48.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…819dbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…7f5ebacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…1f51backed Yes | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…c2f0backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…db7abacked Yes | 42c | 32.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…a12ebacked Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…946cbacked Yes | 44c | 26.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle beat Bournemouth?this page
- Will Bournemouth beat Newcastle?No won
- Will Bournemouth vs. Newcastle end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.