TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Wild

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oilersof Oilers, Wild
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,634
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,047

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,634 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x371a…34b0backed Wild1c2,743$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.667450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Oilers57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86031849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Wild43c1,713$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.866137.7%23 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Oilers57c1,516$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.96357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Oilers55c1,257$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.993033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Wild43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4304645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Wild46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Oilers73c999.15$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.736657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Wild39c817.74$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.9431334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Wild43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34425340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d54…2386backed Oilers59c677.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.972665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Oilers55c663.6$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.3719150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Wild43c604.67$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.0154349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Wild32c324.94$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9820540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wild46c302.77$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.81,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf61b…f73ebacked Wild45c250.2$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.694551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Wild44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9272444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1596…4361backed Wild43c247.19$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.291978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.8wins+0.25per pick54cpaid+57%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4a72…3c27backed Oilers57c247.19$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.291266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Wild43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33ec…16ccbacked Oilers56c226.84$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.81450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Oilers54c221$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6611445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Wild46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Wild47c212.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007650%38 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf51…2037backed Wild19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Wild34c199.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6813953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Oilers54c198$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0823144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Oilers57c170.18$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.184158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48fb…2b45backed Wild45c152.98$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.84520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5e…5d34backed Oilers79c147.12$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.91070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb8c…2c0dbacked Oilers56c138.54$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6de3…af1ebacked Oilers56c114.64$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.44450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x647a…eef5backed Wild45c114.6$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7c1…ecadbacked Wild45c113.78$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+79.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbf…58a2backed Wild45c113.09$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8940%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6330…db7abacked Wild28c107.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.012250%11 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Wild45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4550049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Wild44c99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5681846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x66c5…21aabacked Oilers57c98.93$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.543141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd28…2e65backed Wild44c96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.141968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Oilers58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2113562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x479f…bb7dbacked Wild47c63.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc520…e89ebacked Wild47c61.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.81633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xffb9…fe81backed Oilers56c59.25$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.07540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Wild43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2572847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6144…2fffbacked Oilers58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214452.3%23 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7824…970dbacked Wild44c47.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.92425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-49.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc19f…e7ecbacked Oilers48c44.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3575…24b9backed Oilers58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x308e…8f91backed Oilers55c42.56$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.15933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Oilers54c42.55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5713846.4%64 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b0…dce8backed Wild47c41.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d9e…8545backed Oilers56c41.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.145100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+107%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc9a…46dbbacked Wild44c41.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.14540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x178f…1fcebacked Oilers56c40.42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.78580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+38.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3883…33b6backed Oilers55c40.42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.19757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d2a…b13abacked Oilers57c40.29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d3…5ef5backed Oilers56c40.23$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7caa…aee2backed Wild44c40.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92d3…3667backed Oilers56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ae…3327backed Wild44c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.43636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1041…9561backed Wild45c39.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef5…1eb8backed Wild44c39.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.34825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-57.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51cf…f023backed Wild43c39.07$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb4…0b93backed Wild42c38.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.05425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9be1…afedbacked Oilers57c37.87$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2be9…d879backed Wild45c37.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49fd…435fbacked Oilers56c37.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.54580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+54.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe046…fbf3backed Oilers56c37.29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.44100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+92.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x227c…f82cbacked Oilers56c37.03$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe6c…6f94backed Oilers55c36.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.61050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x173f…08d1backed Wild41c35.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6249…7e40backed Wild44c34.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.35742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb67f…f746backed Wild45c33.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8030…04f2backed Oilers57c33.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5971…2f01backed Wild45c33.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fef…a404backed Oilers58c32.26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.55988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick58cpaid+53.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x07ed…1150backed Oilers56c31.56$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.884100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+134.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b9b…6f62backed Wild44c30.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.62425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf248…fe7ebacked Wild44c30.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c9…e1f5backed Oilers56c30.9$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.59450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8452…7275backed Wild44c30.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b37…3909backed Oilers56c30.06$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+70.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c3a…f047backed Wild45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb4…3580backed Wild52c29.91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.551040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b0d…cf42backed Oilers57c29.63$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.74850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9e…465bbacked Wild45c29.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-65.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef95…228ebacked Wild45c29.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-55.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa554…15c5backed Oilers56c29.44$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.951040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8990…eb6cbacked Wild44c29.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a6…c982backed Oilers59c29.39$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb730…1d5ebacked Wild45c29.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b0a…698ebacked Wild47c28.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.63650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4153…07c0backed Wild47c28.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.46633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4da…81e9backed Wild45c28.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.83742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa787…4562backed Oilers53c28.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.26616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-68.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Oilers54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7819057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b75…8d2bbacked Oilers56c26.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.49742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64fa…380fbacked Oilers58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.861070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x526d…73f1backed Wild43c25.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+57.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.