Champions League · resolved market
Will Bayer Leverkusen beat Feyenoord?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac4ac3b43d647cc042fa9e318e08d2767997fcdfd324f823e4b0f363dcdfe0ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 42c | 6,775$2,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.9 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 61c | 5,797$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.26 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 58c | 4,447$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.63 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 39c | 3,821$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…7724backed Yes | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed No | 7c | 1,807$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 37c | 1,678$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.7 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 59c | 1,500$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 41c | 1,177$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.69 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…97febacked No | 42c | 1,151$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 40c | 1,133$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.73 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 16c | 960.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.2 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc5…38d9backed No | 42c | 958.06$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7724…7e7abacked Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff25…1738backed Yes | 75c | 782$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1724…fc81backed Yes | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 59c | 500$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 59c | 499.43$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.77 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 58c | 437.27$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.65 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb461…d1dabacked No | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d1…8eb2backed Yes | 59c | 337.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.83 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x501a…d46dbacked Yes | 61c | 322.15$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 41c | 299.88$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.73 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 40c | 259.9$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 58c | 238.66$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.51 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…a9c2backed Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d8…3083backed Yes | 58c | 130$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed Yes | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…a8bcbacked Yes | 61c | 99.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 40c | 98.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…e521backed Yes | 58c | 94.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…7f5ebacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…8fb7backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e21…4d75backed Yes | 60c | 86.03$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…f913backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked Yes | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ff…91a1backed Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7f…b124backed No | 43c | 66.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…8f7fbacked No | 43c | 53.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…9688backed Yes | 59c | 52.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaa…c528backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…db7abacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a4…e6cabacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 66c | 46.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 41c | 40.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6817…2404backed Yes | 59c | 40.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee8…086bbacked Yes | 58c | 39.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…e65fbacked Yes | 60c | 39.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 59c | 37.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…709bbacked No | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…2b40backed No | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…e097backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f16…a860backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +987.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c39…6ef1backed No | 43c | 33.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…6e70backed Yes | 61c | 31.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…642abacked Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…beb4backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…63b3backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e09…ca1cbacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…e759backed No | 44c | 23.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f7…91edbacked Yes | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bff…15a7backed Yes | 60c | 21.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb612…a5a7backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2206…943dbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x096e…8a38backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc79c…757bbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9f…af72backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yes | 57c | 19.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer Leverkusen beat Feyenoord?this page
- Will Feyenoord beat Bayer Leverkusen?No won
- Will the match between Feyenoord vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.