Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United beat Fulham?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cf290283eb0e741cb2e0682e1a976a37867700bc45678ef10cd4b40e1eb8b04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x741e…2f80backed No | 40c | 8,192$3,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,276.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…7407backed Yes | 60c | 7,500$4,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e8…ce3bbacked Yes | 60c | 7,426$4,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 37c | 5,741$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.61 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 38c | 4,851$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.51 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91efbacked Yes | 62c | 1,614$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 60c | 1,492$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.9 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 37c | 1,422$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.21 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…165cbacked No | 39c | 1,419$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 64c | 1,391$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.62 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9bb…015dbacked Yes | 62c | 763.55$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…fa22backed Yes | 62c | 660.81$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2667…8334backed Yes | 62c | 563.55$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.15 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 37c | 515.92$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.89 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 58c | 501$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.92 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…0a62backed Yes | 61c | 500$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.6wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Yes | 61c | 489.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b51…df04backed Yes | 62c | 434.52$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff4…2b03backed Yes | 62c | 419.35$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1c96backed Yes | 63c | 414.65$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.44 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…408cbacked No | 40c | 325$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Yes | 79c | 324.43$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…bffdbacked Yes | 70c | 319.76$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 60c | 267$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.8 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 15c | 250$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed Yes | 21c | 239$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.81 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf842…682dbacked Yes | 42c | 236.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfe…825dbacked Yes | 63c | 217.29$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…834cbacked Yes | 61c | 208.65$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 39c | 205.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b48…51d0backed No | 39c | 200.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4842…7c89backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…5f9dbacked Yes | 62c | 196.77$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51cc…8839backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…68c9backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 69cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Yes | 60c | 140.19$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb98…969dbacked Yes | 61c | 132.77$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…eb25backed No | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…fc9cbacked Yes | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…4b9cbacked Yes | 65c | 113$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 59c | 101.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8329…266abacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…4692backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 37c | 99.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…db7abacked Yes | 63c | 88.47$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…7320backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 60c | 81.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1716…d933backed Yes | 62c | 79.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5121…90a8backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…9d14backed Yes | 61c | 77.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde35…4bc8backed Yes | 61c | 75.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae15…7883backed Yes | 61c | 72.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3b…3934backed Yes | 63c | 71.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…c433backed Yes | 64c | 70.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…8be8backed No | 40c | 70.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c92…77f2backed Yes | 61c | 67.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…3569backed No | 40c | 63.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff9c…2c98backed No | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Yes | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed Yes | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0997…c238backed No | 41c | 55.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…e0e8backed Yes | 63c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd28…cb23backed No | 39c | 53.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbeb…b30bbacked Yes | 61c | 52.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe939…2af4backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc751…990ebacked Yes | 64c | 49.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…0d3abacked Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec3…53a1backed Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…30e6backed No | 38c | 36.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac5…463cbacked Yes | 62c | 31.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…b051backed Yes | 62c | 30.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…8fb7backed Yes | 63c | 30.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…7f5ebacked Yes | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x855d…698fbacked Yes | 62c | 29.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…bd48backed Yes | 62c | 27.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…8c20backed Yes | 62c | 25.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…c2f0backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe07a…ec52backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…ba5dbacked Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb05…2de2backed Yes | 61c | 20.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…c71fbacked Yes | 60c | 19.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc9…24eabacked Yes | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd25…03b9backed Yes | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bab…4d7dbacked Yes | 63c | 17.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…42fbbacked Yes | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…0336backed Yes | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd718…13b9backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc0…aad6backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United beat Fulham?this page
- Will Fulham beat Manchester United?No won
- Will Manchester United vs. Fulham end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.