NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Blue Jackets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1127a6664bfd9d564e04b4fa157cfebb64805466d51732c98e1287b2649135a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Blue Jackets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Blue Jackets | 59c | 7,955$4,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,718.24 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Blue Jackets | 39c | 5,889$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.34 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Capitals | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Capitals | 62c | 4,000$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Blue Jackets | 45c | 3,029$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.62 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Blue Jackets | 38c | 1,385$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.45 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf848…03abbacked Blue Jackets | 44c | 1,340$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…7cd3backed Capitals | 61c | 1,100$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -65%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Blue Jackets | 39c | 1,031$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.29 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Blue Jackets | 39c | 1,012$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.14 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 64c | 1,007$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.71 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Capitals | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Blue Jackets | 38c | 978.74$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.49 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…a0fdbacked Capitals | 62c | 935.48$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.48 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Capitals | 62c | 738.02$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.45 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Capitals | 61c | 727.87$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.87 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b8…2ee0backed Capitals | 61c | 672.83$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff5…54dabacked Blue Jackets | 39c | 672.83$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…1d20backed Capitals | 61c | 658.97$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff5…314cbacked Blue Jackets | 39c | 658.97$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d54…2386backed Capitals | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57d…d9a4backed Capitals | 61c | 639.2$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.29 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…ea20backed Blue Jackets | 39c | 639.2$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Blue Jackets | 39c | 635$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.15 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8f39backed Blue Jackets | 39c | 520.65$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 62c | 499.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Blue Jackets | 38c | 499.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Capitals | 61c | 489.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.12 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…2037backed Capitals | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc70…ad54backed Capitals | 61c | 436.22$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.13 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +51%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Blue Jackets | 41c | 349.6$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…f73ebacked Capitals | 61c | 334.48$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.57 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Blue Jackets | 39c | 296.65$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Blue Jackets | 39c | 255.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Blue Jackets | 40c | 253.14$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.73 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Blue Jackets | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Capitals | 61c | 244.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.54 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Blue Jackets | 39c | 222.83$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.09 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Blue Jackets | 38c | 207.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Capitals | 61c | 207.82$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.59 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Blue Jackets | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Capitals | 57c | 192.51$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.51 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0835…c0abbacked Blue Jackets | 44c | 180.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…db7abacked Blue Jackets | 44c | 171.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Capitals | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Blue Jackets | 44c | 161.17$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Capitals | 61c | 159.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Capitals | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Blue Jackets | 49c | 149.84$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Capitals | 47c | 148.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…a2bcbacked Blue Jackets | 40c | 147.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Capitals | 60c | 137.24$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Capitals | 35c | 133.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.97 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Blue Jackets | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…a7cfbacked Capitals | 61c | 119$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Blue Jackets | 38c | 102.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ca…3effbacked Blue Jackets | 40c | 100.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Capitals | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Capitals | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Capitals | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x872b…a82ebacked Capitals | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26af…a178backed Capitals | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Blue Jackets | 40c | 99.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Blue Jackets | 39c | 99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…2752backed Capitals | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Blue Jackets | 40c | 92.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…aa64backed Blue Jackets | 40c | 89.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe63f…500fbacked Capitals | 61c | 88.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb6…9d14backed Blue Jackets | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0715…b17bbacked Capitals | 61c | 84.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e09…fc91backed Capitals | 60c | 83.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d09…0baabacked Blue Jackets | 46c | 83.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…ad6cbacked Blue Jackets | 40c | 82.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8e…ecf4backed Blue Jackets | 40c | 82.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b0…3f9ebacked Capitals | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3575…24b9backed Capitals | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Capitals | 62c | 80.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe9…e00ebacked Capitals | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5272…f0afbacked Capitals | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…d737backed Capitals | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b3…bf06backed Capitals | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…cef1backed Blue Jackets | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…fa88backed Capitals | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Capitals | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x562f…fb89backed Blue Jackets | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Capitals | 61c | 65.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Capitals | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…750bbacked Capitals | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…c051backed Capitals | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…5975backed Blue Jackets | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473b…bdbbbacked Capitals | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa69e…848bbacked Capitals | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3712…fbc6backed Blue Jackets | 40c | 59.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6448…423dbacked Capitals | 61c | 59.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…3f92backed Capitals | 61c | 58.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…7ec6backed Capitals | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Blue Jackets | 38c | 57.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…cf5cbacked Capitals | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.