TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Devils

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Devilsof Kings, Devils
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,208
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,771

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,208 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Kings39c27,469$10,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,715.386657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Devils61c22,895$13,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,940.4144848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x188c…3d31backed Devils59c8,513$5,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,490.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Devils58c6,065$3,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,547.311,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…adcfbacked Kings41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a7…505bbacked Devils59c4,365$2,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,789.71435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.22per pick57cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x65af…a2a7backed Kings41c4,365$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.71050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings40c4,063$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.3135545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Devils59c3,670$2,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.314949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c53…c8b5backed Kings42c3,571$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Kings40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.963033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66f3…5c67backed Devils60c2,927$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc7…40d7backed Devils60c2,827$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x217b…0dc0backed Kings42c2,379$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Devils57c1,519$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.1731849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7a3…24bdbacked Kings41c1,509$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Devils59c1,500$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6157549.3%37 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Kings40c1,314$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.36137.7%23 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cec…a0fdbacked Devils59c1,011$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.661376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Kings41c1,000$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.884645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf334…0a0fbacked Kings41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96af…4000backed Devils58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ec2…9d07backed Kings42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a0…6906backed Kings42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d03…8222backed Devils61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf061…f3aabacked Devils58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6894…a7cfbacked Devils61c933.31$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x939d…2ed5backed Devils58c870$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf573…de66backed Kings42c870$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+54.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1299…356ebacked Devils58c682.23$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.541060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb645…4845backed Kings42c682.23$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.54650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb4…3b72backed Kings41c663.61$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.08862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfffd…1988backed Devils59c663.61$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.08580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c2d…d44dbacked Kings41c599.95$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.98714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-74%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x53d5…0121backed Kings47c595.24$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.76650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x278b…8181backed Devils53c595.24$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.76742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked Devils60c583.58$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.586657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50ff…2037backed Kings43c581.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf33…3773backed Devils59c574.93$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Kings2c563.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.397450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Devils56c536.14$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.4419150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29bd…17cebacked Kings43c520.16$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabd…92dcbacked Devils60c520.03$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ce…9134backed Kings41c509.6$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8526…3b5dbacked Devils60c500.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.274134.1%14 W · 27 L-6.2wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-26.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Kings41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20554349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdefe…bdb8backed Devils60c499.95$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.981040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Kings40c499.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9829847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8c1…06cebacked Devils60c499.93$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe433…47d1backed Devils60c499.93$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb015…846ebacked Kings41c486.52$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf848…03abbacked Kings42c383.54$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kings40c367.01$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.811,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Kings42c266.55$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11123761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd28…2e65backed Devils59c262.83$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.761968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kings41c254.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5372444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Devils59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2413562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce73…70a9backed Kings42c240$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Kings43c231.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007650%38 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Kings44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012955.8%72 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e0…d485backed Kings43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47dc…eec9backed Devils59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Kings42c150$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Devils59c140.19$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.481030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Kings42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20b3…bf06backed Kings43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x435b…a1d6backed Devils59c110.18$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6330…db7abacked Kings33c107.14$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352250%11 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ca…3effbacked Devils60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x872b…a82ebacked Kings41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Devils59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4150857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3575…24b9backed Kings42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5493…3b86backed Devils59c93.97$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.53450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2487…6530backed Kings41c93.97$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Kings43c93.13$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407950.6%40 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d5…3894backed Kings14c89.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf3…2cc7backed Kings42c85.71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…1655backed Kings43c85.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.699957.6%57 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Devils59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7522246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66f2…a532backed Kings43c81.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa7…05e2backed Devils63c78.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.941145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbacf…b9f4backed Kings42c78.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e8e…eec7backed Kings42c77$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Devils59c76.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.279665.6%63 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x774f…ea29backed Kings41c75.61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Kings40c72.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.811445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ec0…a0eabacked Kings42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302763%17 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb61…34f8backed Kings42c71.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dfd…0fcfbacked Kings48c70.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb30f…4255backed Kings42c69.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5c0…e68cbacked Devils55c64.77$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.93837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7426…9e9fbacked Devils59c58.59$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.851338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfed2…cf5cbacked Kings43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64aa…ff9abacked Devils60c56.87$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.87560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbd5…f500backed Devils60c56.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd7…547dbacked Devils58c55.43$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0a…66a5backed Devils58c55.17$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.17540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd71…2531backed Kings42c53.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.