Champions League · resolved market
Will Arsenal beat Atalanta?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f12acb53a1ed9d268e1ab16dfb96760221675e99ecde2688868817f3c101de6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 48c | 19,874$9,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,334.77 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 52c | 16,823$8,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,747.87 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 46c | 5,612$2,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.48 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x025e…0420backed Yes | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 46c | 4,486$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.39 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 43c | 4,287$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.68 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce8…4a44backed Yes | 60c | 4,260$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 52c | 1,066$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.08 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 52c | 988.66$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.1 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…75f5backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 74cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7724…7e7abacked Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 46c | 549.1$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.52 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e63…3600backed Yes | 56c | 510.31$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed No | 48c | 498.1$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.01 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…5769backed Yes | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 53c | 349.75$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.97 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 47c | 321.96$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.38 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…366cbacked Yes | 54c | 297.57$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 53c | 285$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.05 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 47c | 285$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.05 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…c953backed Yes | 54c | 258.7$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…2000backed Yes | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54f…bf86backed Yes | 54c | 231.3$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +150%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…0569backed Yes | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2c…4cf3backed Yes | 52c | 209.62$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d1…8eb2backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…8fb7backed Yes | 53c | 189.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5a…df23backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 60c | 183.91$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.56 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Yes | 40c | 183.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa649…cce2backed Yes | 56c | 175$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfff…0e5dbacked Yes | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x195f…086bbacked No | 48c | 169.81$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb461…d1dabacked Yes | 54c | 169$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 45c | 153.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.41 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9d…39b7backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d8…3083backed Yes | 53c | 145$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52af…b30bbacked Yes | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Yes | 51c | 130$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…ee3dbacked Yes | 54c | 112.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Yes | 54c | 107.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…9391backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed Yes | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ea…158dbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…f913backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…7f5ebacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…e505backed No | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d3…82c0backed Yes | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…0f95backed Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…726cbacked Yes | 55c | 71.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5616…a88cbacked Yes | 51c | 69.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…db34backed Yes | 53c | 61.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…db7abacked Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 46c | 57.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9df…3a11backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee56…bba5backed Yes | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7622…e618backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…c597backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087d…c156backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 53c | 46.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ed…16d8backed Yes | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff42…83e5backed No | 48c | 41.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6e…d36abacked Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…ad7ebacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…e097backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…c4c4backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…1dfebacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb80c…9e54backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…e7e0backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46f…f144backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90d8…885abacked Yes | 53c | 34.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 47c | 32.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec26…b538backed Yes | 53c | 31.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…14e7backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…642abacked Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8c…d65ebacked Yes | 52c | 29.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…93c4backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…205bbacked Yes | 53c | 29.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…3accbacked Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a2…cd8abacked No | 52c | 28.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…3c16backed Yes | 53c | 28.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…ac60backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7470…a1ccbacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 51c | 26.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc79c…757bbacked Yes | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bff…15a7backed Yes | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…a02fbacked No | 47c | 22.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…c7a6backed Yes | 55c | 21.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal beat Atalanta?this page
- Will Atalanta beat Arsenal?No won
- Will the match between Atalanta vs. Arsenal end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.