Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City beat Arsenal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x102c9b363de0a09c473af1c6146052b90ad4e46eb5875d9c983f989b53a961e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 51c | 11,900$6,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,059.29 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 50c | 8,397$4,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,180.97 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 15c | 6,488$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.74 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x025e…0420backed Yes | 56c | 6,362$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 46c | 5,810$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.67 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 46c | 4,311$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.21 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 1c | 4,283$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 54c | 4,261$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.71 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…64abbacked No | 46c | 2,955$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.61 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce8…4a44backed Yes | 49c | 2,869$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 41c | 2,207$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.79 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 55c | 1,843$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.77 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 45c | 1,667$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.97 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.02 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 80c | 1,279$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.67 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 52c | 1,116$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.09 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed No | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 46c | 999.96$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 53c | 830$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.9 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…0a62backed Yes | 51c | 710$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.5 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.6wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 54c | 550$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb461…d1dabacked Yes | 55c | 510.02$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…f913backed Yes | 51c | 500.01$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.28 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x232e…e9fdbacked Yes | 55c | 490.97$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff25…1738backed Yes | 62c | 470$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.4 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +6.9wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +211.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…a9c2backed Yes | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked No | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1724…fc81backed Yes | 54c | 399.98$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 53c | 331.26$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.57 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed Yes | 17c | 298.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 35c | 282.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…e2b9backed Yes | 68c | 273.2$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 45c | 272.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.14 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c04…8d3cbacked Yes | 78c | 261.64$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 47c | 207.91$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 16c | 200.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.26 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +15.6wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +437.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80f…4fa0backed Yes | 56c | 197.46$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 46c | 194.13$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.88 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…97febacked Yes | 44c | 184.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Yes | 55c | 181$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 44c | 180.68$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.18 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1e…329abacked Yes | 55c | 177.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…db7abacked Yes | 12c | 171.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…c433backed Yes | 57c | 158.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabac…c5e5backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f1…5bccbacked Yes | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…2549backed Yes | 45c | 136.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…e855backed Yes | 48c | 133.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 42c | 120.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.79 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…0fa1backed Yes | 53c | 113.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d97…d431backed No | 61c | 111.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…6767backed Yes | 56c | 106.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…3385backed Yes | 55c | 99.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…0764backed Yes | 54c | 97.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 45c | 96.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 32c | 83.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…8069backed No | 47c | 83.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78ef…6dacbacked No | 77c | 81.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 46c | 80.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…f634backed Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…db6abacked Yes | 54c | 79.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…60e7backed Yes | 39c | 79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…0a87backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fe…ca57backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f24…513ebacked Yes | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed No | 72c | 69.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…5679backed Yes | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…becebacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…0a4cbacked Yes | 55c | 55.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba78…273ebacked Yes | 56c | 55.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked No | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…19f0backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…af29backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Yes | 54c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…5948backed Yes | 59c | 46.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…eccabacked No | 47c | 46.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…7735backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e05…d3bfbacked No | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c10…8aacbacked Yes | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768e…8f5fbacked Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2081…73b9backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…9836backed Yes | 56c | 43.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…16c2backed Yes | 55c | 41.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2206…943dbacked Yes | 54c | 40.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f9f5backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b57…9e85backed Yes | 78c | 39.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 54c | 39.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca69…2144backed Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City beat Arsenal?this page
- Will Arsenal beat Manchester City?No won
- Will Manchester City vs. Arsenal end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.