TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67fe…ca57

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST2528%7 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+28.2%+$56.41
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$44.59
Will Southampton vs. Leicester end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Will Newcastle vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Will Fulham vs. Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bournemouth vs. Southampton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa beat Ipswich Town?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Will Everton vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brentford vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
Will Manchester City beat Newcastle?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester City beat Arsenal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$40
Will Brighton beat Nottingham Forest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Will Wolverhampton beat Aston Villa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Will Everton beat Leicester City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Will Liverpool beat Bournemouth?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Will Ipswich Town beat Southampton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Will Newcastle beat Wolverhampton?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal beat Tottenham?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea beat Bournemouth?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will Aston Villa vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa beat Everton?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crystal Palace vs. Leicester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT+316.7%+$126.67
Will Fulham vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2024, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Angelsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Angels vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$120
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $180 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+53.8%+$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dogecoin reach $0.55 before December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.