Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool beat Bournemouth?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47217950cc02ab42fc2d3973fd3e85a22972d37c359ccdcb8f5ebe43d3f083e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd028…75f5backed Yes | 77c | 3,936$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.13 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 25c | 3,384$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.77 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 22c | 2,510$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.4 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 76c | 2,500$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.89 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 23c | 2,012$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.34 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 23c | 1,263$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.78 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 24c | 1,157$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.32 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…529bbacked Yes | 78c | 974.27$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.27 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Yes | 77c | 416.44$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.78 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.26per pick | 48cpaid | +61%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Yes | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 19c | 361.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.73 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 76c | 249.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…366cbacked Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…a9c2backed Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes | 78c | 164.42$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 23c | 147.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3362…8cb4backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…7f5ebacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…2be5backed No | 24c | 120.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5f…2f0dbacked Yes | 77c | 103$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22bf…782dbacked Yes | 80c | 96.64$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…e521backed Yes | 77c | 93.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa896…2043backed Yes | 77c | 84.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…0a87backed Yes | 77c | 77.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Yes | 79c | 77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…2ae3backed Yes | 77c | 72.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6783…2179backed Yes | 76c | 67.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 22c | 67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67fe…ca57backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…4efcbacked Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…c433backed Yes | 76c | 64.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…927dbacked Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…6af6backed No | 25c | 56.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1673…e40dbacked Yes | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdec…17a2backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…6a41backed Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…0fa1backed Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 78c | 38.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3d7dbacked Yes | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…3f6bbacked Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663a…75babacked Yes | 78c | 27.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc02c…6df4backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f49…5ee1backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…fb0dbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a7…6201backed Yes | 77c | 23.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948c…42eebacked Yes | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…ef03backed Yes | 78c | 21.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x262e…c700backed Yes | 77c | 20.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb17…13fabacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…a200backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4899…9c51backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…ee3dbacked Yes | 78c | 19.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c06…6630backed Yes | 80c | 19.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c93…c3c5backed Yes | 77c | 19.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7261…d21cbacked Yes | 80c | 15.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 79c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa062…1b9fbacked Yes | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…604dbacked Yes | 77c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…0336backed Yes | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff42…83e5backed Yes | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0d…613abacked Yes | 77c | 13.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool beat Bournemouth?this page
- Will Bournemouth beat Liverpool?No won
- Will Liverpool vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.