Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton beat Nottingham Forest?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e8c0214ea10b3580d9bc18845184da89713bc9e4797a66e94d13f4ff4c5cdf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 45c | 3,004$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.93 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 70c | 2,493$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.36 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 55c | 1,740$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 46c | 1,219$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.11 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 54c | 1,005$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.68 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 53c | 900.08$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.04 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed No | 46c | 761.07$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.07 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 54c | 613.05$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.32 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Yes | 2c | 549.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 56c | 536.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 49c | 363$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…7e03backed Yes | 73c | 310$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 67cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 45c | 309.6$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.28 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x232e…e9fdbacked Yes | 55c | 308.3$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…0a62backed Yes | 62c | 302.77$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.22 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.6wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea3…3808backed Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…b4b2backed No | 47c | 271.6$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Yes | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 56c | 179.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 44c | 170.87$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.69 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba78…273ebacked Yes | 56c | 124.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff25…1738backed No | 40c | 115.54$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +6.9wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +211.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 55c | 115.48$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…c433backed Yes | 56c | 100.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 26c | 92.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…7f5ebacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1823…b0fcbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…e521backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…2549backed Yes | 53c | 83.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 43c | 78.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 68c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…8819backed Yes | 78c | 53.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fe…ca57backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…0a4cbacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffb…7fb6backed Yes | 56c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79c4…d1c7backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed Yes | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…a445backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…3f6bbacked Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096e…8a38backed Yes | 55c | 38.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…10d5backed Yes | 35c | 38.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…88e7backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…14b1backed Yes | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton beat Nottingham Forest?this page
- Will Brighton vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Nottingham Forest beat Brighton?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.