TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Arsenal beat Tottenham?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,150
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,150 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0a12…01cebacked No53c8,174$4,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,358.883548.6%17 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No59c7,254$4,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,307.4322744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…d337backed No58c5,167$2,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,985.433357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63dd…c15fbacked Yes38c3,657$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,257.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+161.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x025e…0420backed Yes45c2,859$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.71637.5%6 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes39c2,565$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.6815554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3f84backed Yes43c2,367$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.563551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No55c2,001$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.7731944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce8…4a44backed Yes41c1,818$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.71163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No56c1,533$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.0222050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a14…0762backed No35c1,244$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.827630.3%23 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9e3…ae22backed Yes40c1,054$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed Yes76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff25…1738backed Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7002462.5%15 W · 9 L+6.9wins+0.29per pick34cpaid+211.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes41c853.66$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.6629044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd9…1095backed Yes34c575.95$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.126752.2%35 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4825…007dbacked Yes41c554$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.863351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x495c…512bbacked Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe484…7c7abacked No21c451.4$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.791330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e1…0b47backed Yes66c431$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.62454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x477d…e691backed Yes39c395.12$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.125848.3%28 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f92…2407backed Yes37c310.08$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c2…0a62backed Yes77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693930.8%12 W · 27 L-8.6wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-50.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x1543…0284backed Yes43c270.51$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+193.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc047…4125backed No60c265.48$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+62.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…3f6bbacked No61c230$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.85050%25 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa946…9da9backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed No57c222$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.548734.5%30 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes41c212.28$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.5110848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11234643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No58c198.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2734251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa715…a8bcbacked Yes43c163.86$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.05771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+50.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2807…97febacked No60c160$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes45c140.7$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0725329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f47…af93backed No60c131$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.67437.8%28 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f50…4db9backed No58c130$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.47240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf0…dc2bbacked Yes40c123.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9518260.4%110 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05ff…b701backed Yes42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.056544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Yes43c117.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.253339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8a5…67acbacked Yes40c104.75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.85540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed No16c103.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5613652.2%71 W · 65 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed No74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749148.4%44 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5814057.9%81 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Yes37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6316060%96 W · 64 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce54…b490backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…af29backed Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582540%10 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd0…09d3backed Yes40c99.09$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.091060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e21…4d75backed Yes42c96.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.72520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-52.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes51c93.7$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.756747.8%32 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa896…2043backed No56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509750.5%49 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked No27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d9f…af72backed Yes41c73.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.172360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa68e…94b3backed Yes41c72.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.012100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+135%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbea9…02f9backed Yes41c72.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.652268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes36c72.25$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9718232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x822d…11c9backed No59c62$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa1…08b3backed No57c61.35$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.985726.3%15 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7777…f2bbbacked Yes42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ec…2e8ebacked Yes43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a9e…1256backed Yes44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.821735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff42…83e5backed No32c55.76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.11764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf2…6dccbacked Yes37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x202b…b7c4backed No58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+121.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.56036.7%22 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12e1…51f6backed Yes43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.59534.7%33 W · 62 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff1…372dbacked Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.781553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2139…7fe2backed Yes41c48.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5342…0f95backed Yes43c48.32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.571050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+59.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54f3…37f0backed Yes44c47.73$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1093…d547backed Yes44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.451457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1336…4a6cbacked Yes44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5279…a8dbbacked Yes43c45.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ea4…e097backed Yes45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.446248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5db…ee3dbacked Yes46c43.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.752070%14 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4c7…22eebacked Yes42c42.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.861070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a83…9c87backed Yes43c40.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50f9…88e7backed Yes41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+31.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Yes41c34.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2214643.2%63 W · 83 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67fe…ca57backed No59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202528%7 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb361…c104backed Yes45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+102.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29ed…16d8backed Yes43c30.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c7…42b7backed Yes44c29.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb8c…d65ebacked No58c29.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x430a…165bbacked Yes40c28.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+87%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x464e…7bd8backed Yes43c28.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.343953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.