Premier League · resolved market
Will Tottenham beat Arsenal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e3e977e490922b6cee1ec183356bb905afd182c2f9f0dd5594b49830f7549e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 34c | 12,842$4,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,314.05 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed No | 66c | 10,091$6,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,430.91 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff25…1738backed Yes | 24c | 4,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +6.9wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +211.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked No | 64c | 3,338$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 68c | 3,315$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.56 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 70c | 1,807$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.44 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 67c | 1,490$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.99 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 33c | 1,288$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.04 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,200$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Yes | 17c | 1,064$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959c…c1c8backed Yes | 33c | 1,060$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed No | 67c | 673$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.72 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 67c | 511.74$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.74 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed Yes | 28c | 503.82$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.41 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 26c | 450$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Yes | 3c | 394.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dec…8240backed No | 68c | 382.57$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c5…c68abacked No | 68c | 301.47$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…1b74backed No | 68c | 300.24$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 4c | 243.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c5…676fbacked No | 68c | 231.15$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c04…8d3cbacked No | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…a9c2backed No | 70c | 214$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e9…39b7backed Yes | 33c | 175.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Yes | 34c | 159.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 69c | 149.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…bc4fbacked No | 68c | 147.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…dd6fbacked Yes | 32c | 124.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd17…42c6backed Yes | 33c | 124.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…c835backed No | 78c | 114.74$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 31c | 111$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked No | 68c | 110$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…6d55backed Yes | 32c | 98.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked No | 66c | 97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…8069backed No | 68c | 85.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1823…b0fcbacked Yes | 33c | 75.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x822d…11c9backed Yes | 31c | 63.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6c…2cb9backed No | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed No | 70c | 51.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddcd…39d9backed No | 67c | 37.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18af…f909backed Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f93…5cd4backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f49…5ee1backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…8340backed No | 71c | 19.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x706d…6707backed No | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x318e…f82ebacked No | 74c | 14.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham beat Arsenal?this page
- Will Arsenal beat Tottenham?Yes won
- Will Tottenham vs. Arsenal end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.