Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea beat Bournemouth?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5177cf9fe2af672b1d8c91f1cfa70fcd6e0d7c886fff40d1092ff0e31c508bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked No | 50c | 1,708$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.76 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 51c | 1,423$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.92 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed No | 54c | 1,129$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.62 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed No | 49c | 1,042$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.11 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 49c | 810.59$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.4 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…afc7backed Yes | 50c | 724.64$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 58c | 709.94$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.42 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 23c | 649.49$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.54 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa52a…feb8backed Yes | 49c | 632.65$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.65 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 50c | 611.21$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.41 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 35c | 569.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.4 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x501a…d46dbacked Yes | 51c | 449.49$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed No | 5c | 440$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked No | 5c | 439.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…5769backed Yes | 49c | 406.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.27 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…e7bdbacked Yes | 37c | 404.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…97febacked Yes | 52c | 395.72$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.72 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…c835backed Yes | 50c | 325.58$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c04…8d3cbacked Yes | 50c | 299.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Yes | 49c | 211$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 47c | 209.43$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 51c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…f920backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 50c | 169.49$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…a8bcbacked Yes | 48c | 164.08$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc50e…bab3backed Yes | 49c | 162.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…007dbacked Yes | 48c | 154$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 49c | 137.88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 48c | 124.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…b65bbacked Yes | 47c | 120.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 49c | 113.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b48…51d0backed No | 51c | 113$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…c433backed Yes | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed No | 52c | 105$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb06…3dd0backed Yes | 49c | 103.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +139.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd0…09d3backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…7f5ebacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3c…ac4fbacked Yes | 49c | 101.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff25…1738backed Yes | 66c | 93.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +6.9wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +211.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…a8f1backed No | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +172.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 49c | 78.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…af29backed Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ff…ee0fbacked No | 53c | 61.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…f913backed Yes | 48c | 57.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff0d…3d76backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 47c | 49.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 50c | 44.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…dc7abacked Yes | 49c | 43.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 46c | 43.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a5…67acbacked Yes | 52c | 41.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fe…ca57backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f49…5ee1backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…e097backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x580c…ede3backed No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Yes | 48c | 37.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 52c | 34.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…ee3dbacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f42…880dbacked Yes | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed Yes | 49c | 29.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…19f0backed Yes | 50c | 25.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee2…07c3backed Yes | 48c | 21.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd904…c63bbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f93…5cd4backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…fb0dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3e…21a8backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf7…27d9backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea beat Bournemouth?this page
- Will Bournemouth beat Chelsea?No won
- Will Bournemouth vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.