Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth beat Chelsea?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x151170dff79ad2a8fa129ca6028af4bcc823a52030100ca10d23b5b3e8cfbd1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 73c | 1,009$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.7 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Yes | 30c | 975$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…fc9cbacked No | 73c | 957.81$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.61 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 19c | 717.67$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.65 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 71c | 615$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.15 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Yes | 19c | 301$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…3f6bbacked No | 74c | 261.36$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.95 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yes | 26c | 240$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 70c | 222$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb6…df1cbacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 72cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6248…51cfbacked Yes | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Yes | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…f1aebacked Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4a…d87abacked Yes | 28c | 85.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…edf7backed Yes | 28c | 78.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14be…e4bfbacked Yes | 31c | 63.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed No | 74c | 62.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x42a5…e6aebacked No | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4360…add5backed No | 73c | 15.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x428e…3c54backed No | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…91e8backed No | 73c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…8607backed No | 73c | 14.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth beat Chelsea?this page
- Will Bournemouth vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
- Will Chelsea beat Bournemouth?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.