Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham vs. West Ham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b946e5345074b7f341266c4040f855325b09750ed189d9c4ffa0054e95d40d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 28c | 1,573$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.26 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked No | 7c | 628$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed No | 7c | 628$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 72c | 499.97$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 72c | 258.57$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.17 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff25…1738backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +6.9wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +211.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5697…cddfbacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67fe…ca57backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6be1…3a78backed Yes | 28c | 67.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +152.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…45d3backed Yes | 28c | 65.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…3f6bbacked Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…a6d5backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…6153backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 28c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e7…97c2backed No | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 71c | 15.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham vs. West Ham end in a draw?this page
- Will Fulham beat West Ham?No won
- Will West Ham beat Fulham?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.