Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham beat West Ham?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb33648da9f84b5a25223feb907ef14e37f0722fdcfa6a29bbae1bea80fe89851
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e9…7e9abacked Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 60c | 777.62$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.42 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked Yes | 12c | 366$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Yes | 12c | 366$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 44c | 353$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.05 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 59c | 238.87$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff25…1738backed No | 7c | 200$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +6.9wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +211.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed No | 57c | 190$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 55c | 113$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…72fdbacked Yes | 40c | 95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +5,455.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b8…6feebacked Yes | 41c | 85.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 59c | 59.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…fb64backed Yes | 78c | 54.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…f6febacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…e097backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe3…165abacked No | 61c | 24.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham beat West Ham?this page
- Will Fulham vs. West Ham end in a draw?Yes won
- Will West Ham beat Fulham?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.