Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City beat Newcastle?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac298790a14bd2bdf34e100cd933a00e1f0adbb7d23dc65b430879f699e36e71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 39c | 27,429$10,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,844.18 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 62c | 25,167$15,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,527.5 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 38c | 18,491$6,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,509.57 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5f…ce01backed Yes | 63c | 4,944$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,114.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 39c | 3,866$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.75 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Yes | 61c | 3,450$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 62c | 3,202$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.02 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 46c | 2,852$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.23 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 38c | 2,826$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.18 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 60c | 2,213$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.39 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…b2f4backed Yes | 51c | 2,048$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Yes | 60c | 1,927$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.31 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f89…3e08backed No | 39c | 1,664$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef0…595cbacked Yes | 62c | 1,664$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8d…b65bbacked Yes | 62c | 1,549$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…d3a7backed No | 39c | 1,549$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.98 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba9…87edbacked No | 40c | 1,546$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9451…e186backed Yes | 62c | 1,546$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…b89cbacked Yes | 62c | 1,354$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x818d…282cbacked Yes | 63c | 1,237$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…246bbacked Yes | 74c | 1,208$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 61c | 1,120$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.2 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 55c | 1,109$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.6 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 62c | 1,065$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…0218backed No | 40c | 1,027$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5338…c5a5backed No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe204…96b1backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 38c | 999.96$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.97 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 39c | 997.71$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.69 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 61c | 954.48$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.06 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…75f5backed Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…83eabacked No | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…2ff3backed Yes | 62c | 788.56$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…2782backed Yes | 62c | 764.48$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +154.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 38c | 734.99$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.7 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d6…ee57backed No | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3c55backed No | 39c | 623.88$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d5…efc9backed Yes | 61c | 600$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…807cbacked Yes | 61c | 527.87$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +305.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dd…72f8backed No | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked No | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 39c | 499.89$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.93 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…9e02backed Yes | 62c | 493.82$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.17 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f01…84c7backed No | 42c | 493.33$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5371…e3a0backed Yes | 60c | 493.33$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…366cbacked Yes | 62c | 490$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca5…7384backed Yes | 60c | 472$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42e5…d10cbacked No | 42c | 472$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3343…b0a4backed Yes | 62c | 442.26$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…6dd5backed No | 41c | 442.26$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaded…a79abacked No | 41c | 429.8$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…0a62backed Yes | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.6wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…f69cbacked Yes | 62c | 387.1$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cc…b203backed No | 42c | 360$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7303…0a7cbacked Yes | 60c | 359.94$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdb…148ebacked Yes | 61c | 353.04$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…456cbacked Yes | 62c | 348.53$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce3…8fc2backed Yes | 61c | 329.67$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…c167backed No | 39c | 329.67$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…2549backed Yes | 61c | 325.34$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.05 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…5a3abacked Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…edfbbacked Yes | 62c | 320.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 63c | 301.82$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.4 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 53c | 300$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4d06…ecd6backed Yes | 62c | 296.68$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…aa70backed Yes | 62c | 282.24$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9603…8cefbacked Yes | 61c | 257.92$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa57c…9d8cbacked Yes | 62c | 243.52$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44f…38b7backed Yes | 47c | 210.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaff…7d46backed Yes | 61c | 206.44$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0898…42d5backed Yes | 62c | 206.21$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Yes | 60c | 201$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce62…73d5backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 38c | 199.94$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.96 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 38c | 199.28$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.56 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29e8…7ea9backed Yes | 62c | 193.76$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…824fbacked No | 40c | 186.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…6051backed No | 41c | 181.34$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff42…83e5backed No | 66c | 167.86$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…7475backed No | 39c | 166.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed Yes | 60c | 163.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…9730backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…7f5ebacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…2c9ebacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…509dbacked No | 39c | 158.59$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f89…8017backed Yes | 65c | 152.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f8…1b61backed Yes | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…03a0backed Yes | 62c | 142.89$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…46d3backed Yes | 60c | 140.11$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 60c | 134.63$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a7…6571backed No | 42c | 131.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…6dccbacked Yes | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Yes | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City beat Newcastle?this page
- Will Newcastle beat Manchester City?No won
- Will Newcastle vs. Manchester City end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.