Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa beat Ipswich Town?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x741173ad41407bd18f53c071198d17b99eb75fe5d8a116d53630911c022a1362
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 30c | 7,079$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.18 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 49c | 6,846$3,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,485.01 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…0901backed Yes | 53c | 6,094$3,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.86 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…ce9dbacked Yes | 52c | 3,339$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.49 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 47c | 2,812$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.27 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…1ac3backed Yes | 52c | 2,308$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff2…7ecabacked Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5791…9d29backed Yes | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 52c | 1,954$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.44 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…3af8backed Yes | 52c | 1,730$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…adeebacked No | 54c | 1,585$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 49c | 1,425$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.77 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed No | 47c | 1,417$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.94 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba9…87edbacked Yes | 53c | 1,307$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f89…3e08backed No | 48c | 1,307$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 52c | 1,110$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.1 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b6…bb1cbacked Yes | 53c | 1,000$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 52c | 958.68$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 48c | 863.18$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.61 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b88…7b00backed Yes | 50c | 813.96$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 51c | 796.65$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.79 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 47c | 760.56$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.24 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 47c | 749.98$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.49 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 50c | 707.42$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.71 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 48c | 706.17$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.32 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…0a62backed Yes | 49c | 700$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.6wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8d…b65bbacked No | 48c | 691.35$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0605…8eefbacked Yes | 54c | 691.35$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked No | 44c | 600.16$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.11 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…898abacked Yes | 52c | 569.23$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7119…7132backed Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8759…b0fdbacked No | 54c | 531.83$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8199…e71abacked Yes | 52c | 505.27$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…9c92backed No | 50c | 498.31$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +172.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…19e0backed Yes | 53c | 498.31$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…97febacked Yes | 48c | 493.75$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…7f87backed Yes | 53c | 478.86$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…c167backed Yes | 53c | 465.14$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…6dd5backed No | 50c | 465.14$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb332…cea1backed No | 48c | 444.63$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c56…fe4abacked Yes | 52c | 444.63$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 51c | 444$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.44 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9603…8cefbacked Yes | 54c | 425.93$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x679a…aa00backed No | 49c | 422.12$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…5702backed Yes | 53c | 418.38$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 48c | 406$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.16 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44f…38b7backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 47c | 374.54$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.98 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9e…1256backed Yes | 46c | 323.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 48c | 320$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.2 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 53c | 308.11$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.3 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…95d3backed Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c8…20e8backed No | 50c | 284$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…3407backed No | 50c | 284$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…46d3backed Yes | 51c | 272.35$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…eb82backed Yes | 53c | 236.06$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ac…bd03backed No | 52c | 226.77$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.55 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.49per pick | 39cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed No | 50c | 226$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Yes | 48c | 211$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ac77backed Yes | 52c | 210$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 30cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…366cbacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…a9c2backed Yes | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…8129backed Yes | 51c | 196.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 75c | 195$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089a…4bd5backed Yes | 53c | 189.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…5a3abacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…10d5backed Yes | 34c | 170$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 53c | 150$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…edfbbacked Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 59c | 140.01$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…9a90backed Yes | 51c | 126.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fa…4bc1backed Yes | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a1…5d25backed Yes | 51c | 122.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…d547backed Yes | 53c | 117.74$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b8…df3cbacked Yes | 53c | 116.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb15a…a7acbacked No | 49c | 111.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 32c | 105.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Yes | 54c | 105$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…863dbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…60e7backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd935…dc32backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed No | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd8…e181backed Yes | 53c | 99.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a6…3758backed Yes | 53c | 99.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186e…b703backed Yes | 53c | 99.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…32a5backed No | 48c | 98.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…0868backed No | 48c | 98.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5957…2931backed No | 48c | 98.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa beat Ipswich Town?this page
- Will Ipswich Town beat Aston Villa?No won
- Will Ipswich Town vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.