Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich Town beat Aston Villa?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6830d3bc4acf06bd97050ffc87a92caf50f1726ba84ac93860b93336df9aedb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x025e…0420backed Yes | 18c | 2,762$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…75f5backed No | 77c | 1,736$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.65 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 23c | 1,637$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.51 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…d3a7backed No | 77c | 1,398$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.35 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x651f…c190backed Yes | 25c | 1,397$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.77 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…163cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,300$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14c…2a42backed No | 76c | 1,300$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe143…b5fcbacked Yes | 25c | 1,300$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…7524backed No | 76c | 1,300$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 75c | 1,144$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.47 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,110$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.28 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 75c | 1,078$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.43 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 75c | 840$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.8 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0605…8eefbacked Yes | 25c | 788.55$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed No | 71c | 750$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4150…db54backed Yes | 24c | 609$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 76c | 544.39$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.65 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…8129backed No | 77c | 542.86$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…b89cbacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Yes | 24c | 465$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.19 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.26per pick | 48cpaid | +61%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 6c | 374.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 77c | 333$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 74c | 302.76$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3813…3287backed Yes | 23c | 302.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cab…f4ecbacked No | 77c | 292.62$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed No | 76c | 268.46$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed No | 78c | 260$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4437…503ebacked No | 77c | 255$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd122…11e0backed Yes | 25c | 251.08$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…f913backed Yes | 21c | 175.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…10d5backed Yes | 21c | 130$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…2be5backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3362…8cb4backed Yes | 24c | 116.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c6…fcb8backed No | 78c | 101.59$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3df3backed Yes | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…8069backed No | 79c | 81.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff42…83e5backed No | 76c | 78.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1673…e40dbacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb6…df1cbacked No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 72cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e3…491fbacked No | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d97…d431backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed No | 77c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…9b67backed Yes | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57c1…d624backed No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a81…2008backed No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9603…8cefbacked No | 79c | 35.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…6215backed No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…93ccbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646d…d31fbacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f87…f16cbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d7…0d61backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f76…a6b6backed No | 78c | 17.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52d…9505backed No | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc407…64abbacked No | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002b…20f1backed No | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…74abbacked No | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0918…5ce7backed No | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc61…6938backed No | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be8…1f1bbacked No | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich Town beat Aston Villa?this page
- Will Aston Villa beat Ipswich Town?No won
- Will Ipswich Town vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.