Token Launches · resolved market
Will Dogecoin reach $0.55 before December?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68821ef8ed1ecc96c8da8639d56bb356e9a8d912cfb7630444ec5f875ec54696
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9f2…b4d7backed Yes | 0c | 20,108$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…2c7abacked Yes | 5c | 6,412$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…07afbacked Yes | 59c | 2,546$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…c046backed Yes | 7c | 2,508$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ea…4815backed Yes | 8c | 2,420$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 4c | 2,202$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…4a57backed No | 50c | 2,118$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.25 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…35fbbacked Yes | 22c | 1,605$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…70c1backed No | 73c | 1,415$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…dc31backed Yes | 47c | 1,400$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…c90abacked No | 49c | 1,112$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.71 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed Yes | 54c | 1,065$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…3e18backed Yes | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 77c | 980.31$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.07 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…50aebacked Yes | 13c | 950.93$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +225.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…e952backed Yes | 15c | 868.69$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.79 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…170cbacked No | 78c | 790.01$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 32c | 648.22$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.63 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 46c | 555$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.46 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…1bfdbacked Yes | 36c | 526.77$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.77 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed No | 6c | 511.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 25cpaid | +270.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fc…fd7ebacked No | 55c | 458.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…e248backed Yes | 36c | 429.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.7 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 53c | 408$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.76 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…72fcbacked No | 79c | 405.64$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed No | 48c | 403.34$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…cf47backed No | 50c | 397.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Yes | 48c | 343.23$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa9…d41fbacked Yes | 23c | 330.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe845…a28ebacked No | 76c | 324.83$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccaa…9066backed No | 55c | 320$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc895…a981backed No | 54c | 315.2$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 26c | 311.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5e…90cabacked Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa0…3ad6backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…8ed9backed Yes | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 27c | 284.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8b…3d8abacked No | 76c | 262.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8505…79f2backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1645backed Yes | 37c | 246.23$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…6941backed No | 46c | 244.98$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d2…7019backed No | 77c | 239.13$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +185%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e86…118bbacked Yes | 23c | 221.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7708…891ebacked Yes | 24c | 214.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…5da7backed No | 49c | 205.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Yes | 30c | 200.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes | 21c | 199.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…7b6fbacked No | 78c | 190.16$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ca…d6a0backed Yes | 22c | 190$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61be…7cf2backed Yes | 10c | 184.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb4…2c1abacked Yes | 13c | 170$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…cb4dbacked Yes | 59c | 168.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…8824backed No | 75c | 155.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6655…3d1ebacked Yes | 26c | 155.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…a888backed No | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a8…883bbacked No | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede7…0b30backed Yes | 21c | 139.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 26c | 138.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…e78bbacked No | 36c | 132.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…2aeebacked No | 59c | 120.88$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9795…1328backed No | 62c | 115.27$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed1…dc95backed No | 79c | 111.7$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…e4e2backed Yes | 45c | 110.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…7538backed Yes | 63c | 107.59$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae07…664fbacked Yes | 23c | 107.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fe…ca57backed Yes | 26c | 100.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…41b7backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…ccf4backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a5…d038backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e0…f7b5backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…6134backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5112…b078backed Yes | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed No | 56c | 96.02$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…593bbacked No | 54c | 93.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbda…fdbbbacked No | 52c | 92.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8077…6f50backed No | 52c | 84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe830…8bedbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed No | 45c | 77.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bf…7eacbacked No | 78c | 75.85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 53c | 73.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0c…af79backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc2…f0b4backed Yes | 60c | 66.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 53c | 66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 68c | 61.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1606…648dbacked Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991f…19c1backed No | 55c | 58.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 78c | 56.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf295…6af4backed Yes | 26c | 55.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…4b8dbacked Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…dbc9backed Yes | 27c | 55.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 33c | 51.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…e9ccbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7617…a404backed Yes | 22c | 49.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ed…5707backed No | 44c | 45.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b3…301dbacked Yes | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…bcb9backed Yes | 28c | 42.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08f…c3babacked Yes | 36c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda05…cbeabacked Yes | 53c | 39.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…fe00backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.55 before December?this page
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.45 before December?Yes won
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 before December?No won
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.60 before December?No won
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.70 before December?No won
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.80 before December?No won
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.90 before December?No won
- Will Dogecoin reach $1 before December?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.