Token Launches · resolved market
Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 before December?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdeab9e2c7da0c518fac212edd74e9fbf8f3523a1e30c6438239b580adaf6fde7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9f2…b4d7backed Yes | 1c | 26,095$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.16 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 1c | 15,208$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.06 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…dde8backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c6…2ef0backed Yes | 0c | 9,934$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 3c | 6,979$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.89 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10f…503cbacked Yes | 4c | 6,583$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5883…a3a9backed Yes | 41c | 5,500$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…c90abacked No | 46c | 5,401$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…2c7abacked Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes | 65c | 3,685$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 60c | 2,497$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d6…8a40backed No | 33c | 1,795$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…4a37backed Yes | 30c | 1,658$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked No | 59c | 1,610$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.06 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed No | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…1d9fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12b…a598backed Yes | 3c | 1,334$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…1bfdbacked Yes | 37c | 1,332$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…53cebacked No | 27c | 1,323$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…e952backed Yes | 26c | 1,236$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.85 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…3e05backed No | 58c | 1,133$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3774…c42cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,050$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25b7…0f9bbacked No | 78c | 900$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf183…c3bfbacked No | 64c | 777.59$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Yes | 25c | 764.75$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…72fcbacked No | 69c | 745$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked No | 74c | 731.22$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9af5…da0abacked Yes | 6c | 710.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0983…7adbbacked Yes | 17c | 659.05$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…5039backed Yes | 5c | 617$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…4fc0backed Yes | 60c | 576.73$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd359…d361backed Yes | 68c | 575.15$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc888…838bbacked Yes | 5c | 553.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5094…5df7backed No | 55c | 540.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a86…b39ebacked No | 64c | 529.4$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…0b7bbacked Yes | 73c | 501.58$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 43cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b52…2c31backed No | 29c | 500.72$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab10…04d9backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…dc31backed Yes | 62c | 500$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 44c | 499.96$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…6e1fbacked No | 39c | 462.11$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +173.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…3e18backed Yes | 21c | 448.54$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…a613backed Yes | 34c | 427.02$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed No | 46c | 405$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…79c1backed Yes | 30c | 394.83$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38e…7d84backed No | 52c | 385$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…a36dbacked No | 79c | 381.82$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…e248backed Yes | 36c | 379.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.15 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed1…dc95backed No | 70c | 356.3$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 347.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…d345backed Yes | 6c | 340.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 28c | 333$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 66c | 325.4$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa9…d41fbacked Yes | 37c | 322.65$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e0…f7b5backed Yes | 46c | 300$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24dc…560bbacked Yes | 17c | 290.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked No | 24c | 285$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +320.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb561…86f8backed No | 77c | 272.32$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fc…fd7ebacked No | 40c | 248.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed No | 36c | 247.53$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 26c | 231.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…481fbacked No | 57c | 215.61$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0973…8986backed Yes | 64c | 213.56$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…fb42backed No | 75c | 212.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…6941backed No | 38c | 209.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 38c | 208.68$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d5…682bbacked Yes | 39c | 204.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…ee54backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…2aeebacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74c8…0b36backed Yes | 48c | 191.06$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Yes | 42c | 186.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…5acfbacked No | 59c | 181.53$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed Yes | 80c | 181.1$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd430…d683backed Yes | 56c | 178.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9790…85d7backed Yes | 52c | 175.8$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…70c1backed No | 59c | 175.57$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5512…5941backed No | 60c | 173.54$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 22c | 165.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 41c | 165.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…41b7backed No | 28c | 160.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed No | 34c | 160.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 59c | 158.14$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +175.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked No | 74c | 153.66$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…966bbacked No | 77c | 146$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5230…e16cbacked No | 34c | 145$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +197%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x602b…c2c0backed No | 69c | 144.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked No | 59c | 138.29$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 72c | 136.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…123bbacked Yes | 74c | 134.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes | 34c | 131$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…61dabacked Yes | 80c | 130$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe830…8bedbacked Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…95fbbacked Yes | 15c | 117$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc895…a981backed No | 55c | 116.89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db7…dcedbacked Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed Yes | 32c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b3…301dbacked Yes | 45c | 109.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xede7…0b30backed Yes | 37c | 109.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f1…02bbbacked No | 71c | 103.42$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90af…fe61backed No | 58c | 103.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 before December?this page
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.45 before December?Yes won
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.55 before December?No won
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.60 before December?No won
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.70 before December?No won
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.80 before December?No won
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.90 before December?No won
- Will Dogecoin reach $1 before December?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.