Token Launches · resolved market
Will Dogecoin reach $0.90 before December?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x532931dbb1f505d03110388d34959b7936ebbe5049af50fb3fb00da38dd49c25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 1c | 3,842$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3774…c42cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,498$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…dde8backed Yes | 1c | 3,146$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…e952backed Yes | 2c | 3,007$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…9ef9backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…7d6abacked Yes | 5c | 1,868$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…e248backed Yes | 6c | 1,574$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…35fbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,504$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243b…4810backed Yes | 14c | 1,456$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes | 3c | 1,449$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 1,092$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f2…b4d7backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…dc31backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes | 4c | 609.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 10c | 600.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc447…f819backed Yes | 18c | 566.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…c7cabacked Yes | 5c | 555.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 5c | 508$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…afe2backed Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf417…d277backed Yes | 9c | 469.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…29f5backed Yes | 13c | 392.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e0…f7b5backed Yes | 12c | 320$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…1bfdbacked Yes | 3c | 319.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…0e5bbacked Yes | 11c | 254.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa390…adb1backed Yes | 4c | 227.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd7…925ebacked Yes | 9c | 217.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39a…2214backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fe…e618backed Yes | 11c | 198.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc440…debebacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…2e45backed Yes | 11c | 125$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696d…2b21backed Yes | 14c | 73.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.90 before December?this page
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.45 before December?Yes won
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 before December?No won
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.55 before December?No won
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.60 before December?No won
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.70 before December?No won
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.80 before December?No won
- Will Dogecoin reach $1 before December?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.