Token Launches · resolved market
Will Dogecoin reach $0.45 before December?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaa6873b9c13e90c587d7e9f1cc3239f9b11993fdb0ea941dca0e24d6d141891
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8d2…d6d2backed No | 22c | 2,803$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee5…fa1bbacked Yes | 78c | 2,500$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…a29fbacked No | 15c | 2,450$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…4a37backed Yes | 40c | 2,287$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…d29ebacked Yes | 73c | 1,967$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes | 80c | 1,593$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…b767backed No | 39c | 1,578$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69d…1262backed Yes | 51c | 1,504$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…481fbacked No | 47c | 1,327$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…07afbacked Yes | 79c | 1,264$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…72fcbacked No | 56c | 1,246$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec68…a36fbacked Yes | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fc…fd7ebacked No | 48c | 1,065$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…e952backed Yes | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Yes | 50c | 957.73$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.3 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff3…88c8backed No | 49c | 924.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…14f2backed Yes | 54c | 839.48$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed Yes | 66c | 820.48$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.82 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…c046backed No | 3c | 760$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…6c95backed No | 7c | 754.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…c90abacked No | 57c | 693.69$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked No | 59c | 541.23$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…e248backed No | 2c | 525$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e0…f7b5backed Yes | 61c | 500$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…3e18backed Yes | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 31c | 470.88$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.2 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b7…d898backed Yes | 69c | 433.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa9…d41fbacked Yes | 49c | 407.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.69 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…8ce6backed Yes | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…865dbacked No | 64c | 389.66$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…fb42backed No | 52c | 381.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 66c | 350$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +8.0wins | +0.26per pick | 48cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5512…5941backed No | 38c | 320.78$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…6e1fbacked Yes | 43c | 278.95$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +173.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…79c1backed Yes | 41c | 266.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes | 43c | 266.69$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.01 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1d…a7dabacked Yes | 77c | 260.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 43c | 259.87$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.19 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…73a0backed No | 16c | 258.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ad…683cbacked No | 28c | 249.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3ddabacked No | 19c | 249.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c43…84fcbacked No | 73c | 243.2$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cb…945cbacked No | 62c | 240.13$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 56c | 239.52$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0384…d4efbacked No | 16c | 210.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a71…4dd2backed No | 38c | 200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d96…039cbacked No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed No | 20c | 195.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ed…5707backed No | 42c | 190.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x715b…3ee1backed Yes | 61c | 187$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 34c | 178.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.78 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc6…b817backed No | 40c | 174.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…650abacked Yes | 75c | 166.41$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…8ae4backed No | 25c | 160.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc222…3d96backed Yes | 66c | 151.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 19c | 148.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa34…66fbbacked Yes | 53c | 141.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9790…85d7backed Yes | 45c | 136$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…0e09backed No | 73c | 132.05$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…7360backed No | 48c | 123.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…0954backed No | 33c | 123.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…4f34backed No | 48c | 123.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 49c | 122.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed No | 47c | 121.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9377…aed8backed Yes | 51c | 121.3$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90af…fe61backed No | 41c | 121.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…2aeebacked No | 22c | 119.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 76c | 116.62$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a9…66dabacked Yes | 61c | 115.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8075…689bbacked No | 46c | 109.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…7b6fbacked Yes | 46c | 108.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede7…0b30backed Yes | 56c | 107.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed No | 18c | 107$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…3a08backed Yes | 51c | 104$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…e291backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +195.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…1aa6backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9c…ad87backed Yes | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +61%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…41b7backed No | 16c | 97.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 51c | 96.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 46c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 73c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…62d9backed Yes | 80c | 88.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…ccf4backed No | 25c | 88.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…a38fbacked Yes | 75c | 86.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 42c | 86.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…f23cbacked No | 19c | 84.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ee…957dbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 71c | 75.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…a888backed Yes | 33c | 75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…79c8backed No | 48c | 73.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 55c | 72.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…474bbacked Yes | 32c | 72.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +143.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6e…96ffbacked Yes | 70c | 71.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990b…c30ebacked No | 36c | 69.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yes | 26c | 61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +113%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb271…8bdbbacked Yes | 79c | 60.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.45 before December?this page
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 before December?No won
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.55 before December?No won
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.60 before December?No won
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.70 before December?No won
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.80 before December?No won
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.90 before December?No won
- Will Dogecoin reach $1 before December?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.