Token Launches · resolved market
Will Dogecoin reach $0.60 before December?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec298061a5e9c438afd20b6d7e314c4875d88430e40ec74a3aaa0d1b81fe6831
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9f2…b4d7backed Yes | 0c | 20,208$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a86…b39ebacked No | 75c | 3,204$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.91 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…a613backed Yes | 26c | 2,800$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc445…d6aebacked Yes | 20c | 2,084$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes | 14c | 1,922$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.33 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 3c | 1,728$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…35fbbacked Yes | 16c | 1,568$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…07afbacked Yes | 70c | 1,433$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…e248backed Yes | 8c | 1,395$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.95 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…e952backed Yes | 9c | 1,327$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 15c | 1,246$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.11 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa88a…59eabacked No | 80c | 1,113$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…3e18backed Yes | 19c | 1,020$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 16c | 812.5$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…6941backed No | 57c | 677.79$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 2c | 555$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01f7…02dfbacked No | 11c | 477.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 10cpaid | +619.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fc…fd7ebacked No | 75c | 474.7$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…1819backed Yes | 35c | 433.21$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…d29ebacked Yes | 28c | 423.63$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 5c | 318.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…a36dbacked No | 77c | 312.95$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa9…d41fbacked Yes | 16c | 307.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…0c09backed No | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…4a57backed No | 66c | 290.99$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.37 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 76c | 275$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8077…6f50backed Yes | 18c | 263.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…1bfdbacked Yes | 21c | 257.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6301…b997backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…4a92backed Yes | 30c | 213.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9062…00d2backed Yes | 34c | 207.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…7538backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e0…f7b5backed Yes | 26c | 184.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…8167backed No | 13c | 168.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.8 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +8.1wins | +0.63per pick | 14cpaid | +774.6%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 16c | 168.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 63c | 157.74$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…5da7backed No | 66c | 151.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed No | 76c | 137.76$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…2987backed No | 78c | 128.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d2…7754backed Yes | 41c | 121.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd15a…bd47backed No | 54c | 121.25$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2e…2768backed No | 63c | 120.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696d…2b21backed Yes | 42c | 119.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 15c | 117.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…6fa1backed Yes | 11c | 113.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c7…fb4dbacked Yes | 24c | 112.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed No | 23c | 104.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 25cpaid | +270.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…14f2backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91c4…dc03backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb500…ce53backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…ccf4backed No | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6b…13e4backed Yes | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9c…07b8backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed No | 72c | 88.21$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x408b…6d31backed Yes | 44c | 84.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc812…a4bdbacked No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…d7ffbacked Yes | 27c | 74.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Yes | 26c | 69.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe845…a28ebacked No | 61c | 54.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…d5e8backed No | 75c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…0b7bbacked Yes | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 43cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cac…deb0backed Yes | 41c | 49.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27fa…09dfbacked Yes | 22c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe830…8bedbacked Yes | 23c | 43.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2744…d1c4backed No | 78c | 43.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a90…4a30backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ed…5707backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3ddabacked No | 57c | 30.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9795…1328backed No | 69c | 30.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…6436backed No | 79c | 27.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 70cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…7ff4backed No | 75c | 26.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ad…c4d5backed No | 76c | 26.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed No | 74c | 21.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…994dbacked No | 71c | 20.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…c2c4backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2eb…e281backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7624…84e5backed No | 76c | 19.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.60 before December?this page
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.45 before December?Yes won
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 before December?No won
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.55 before December?No won
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.70 before December?No won
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.80 before December?No won
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.90 before December?No won
- Will Dogecoin reach $1 before December?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.