Champions League · resolved market
Will Bayern Munich beat Aston Villa?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee5ea7e53b823d7f6f7935abc528a707dd4af96d33068cfe8f81ec18f3a26e33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 42c | 4,876$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,841.41 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 43c | 1,479$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.97 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 42c | 1,464$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.22 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 58c | 1,161$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…dc53backed Yes | 57c | 1,024$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…ffcebacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 43c | 999.96$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.98 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 41c | 999.95$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.97 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 44c | 999.86$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.92 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Yes | 59c | 997.98$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.34 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f92…b5f8backed Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8759…b0fdbacked No | 45c | 844.44$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 42c | 763.15$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.65 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Yes | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b88…7b00backed Yes | 58c | 573.09$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 58c | 490.21$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.67 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Yes | 58c | 487.23$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.92 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 42c | 477.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.74 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d6…e639backed Yes | 57c | 460.27$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd07e…f13bbacked Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38d1…8eb2backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdd…eef3backed Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb3…92e2backed Yes | 56c | 243$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…aa67backed Yes | 56c | 237.43$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b6…bb1cbacked No | 42c | 235.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff42…83e5backed Yes | 64c | 233.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed Yes | 50c | 228.36$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.18 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…72b2backed Yes | 58c | 202.93$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 59c | 200$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…a9c2backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 42c | 198.84$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.33 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61ae…d2d3backed Yes | 57c | 192.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 42c | 185.71$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc047…4125backed Yes | 58c | 182.66$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb6…e0b4backed Yes | 58c | 181.03$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4dc5backed Yes | 57c | 179.12$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…7677backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 57c | 174.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -10.3wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…7f5ebacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…af29backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad51…55abbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…5ce5backed No | 43c | 169.26$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 59c | 159.05$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.85 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 59c | 148.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb529…f3ffbacked Yes | 59c | 140.88$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e58…1bb3backed Yes | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…60cdbacked Yes | 57c | 135.09$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed Yes | 26c | 126$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 42c | 125$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bff…15a7backed Yes | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa567…56c2backed Yes | 59c | 120.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…f978backed Yes | 59c | 120.34$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 57c | 107.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.27per pick | 62cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…7235backed Yes | 59c | 93.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…2176backed Yes | 56c | 91.63$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c52…23cabacked No | 44c | 88.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fe…ca57backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0873…807abacked Yes | 58c | 86.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…05a4backed Yes | 59c | 84.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ec…ec37backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…bd4bbacked Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3676…c975backed Yes | 57c | 70.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…42c1backed Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc6…85f2backed Yes | 59c | 63.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a4…f169backed Yes | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x838e…b9c2backed No | 43c | 59.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…7930backed Yes | 58c | 59.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdc…1669backed Yes | 59c | 57.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…0fa1backed Yes | 59c | 55.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…42a7backed Yes | 59c | 55.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 57c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d2…eaf6backed Yes | 57c | 53.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe07a…ec52backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a5…2cbdbacked Yes | 58c | 51.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…7760backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…87e4backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73c…21f2backed Yes | 58c | 51.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 42c | 50.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 43c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…33acbacked Yes | 58c | 44.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…0d3abacked Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -76%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…a81bbacked Yes | 59c | 44.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb2…662dbacked Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 58c | 42.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -8.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…f294backed Yes | 58c | 41.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc790…f85abacked Yes | 56c | 40.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a77…62c3backed Yes | 57c | 36.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayern Munich beat Aston Villa?this page
- Will Aston Villa beat Bayern Munich?Yes won
- Will the match between Aston Villa and Bayern Munich end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.