Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth vs. Southampton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ebeed34055655808b44ba89b1e5f698951edb6d7ae8da9aec8232fecd1162ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 78c | 4,119$3,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.27 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 19c | 2,754$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.22 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8d…b65bbacked Yes | 22c | 2,160$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 22c | 1,636$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.92 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0c…2476backed Yes | 21c | 1,500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Yes | 22c | 1,306$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.4 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.26per pick | 48cpaid | +61%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 79c | 1,126$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.75 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x959e…0315backed No | 80c | 1,111$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…602bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,100$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 79c | 738.85$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.27 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4af4…f0e3backed Yes | 21c | 595.24$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 21c | 444$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 21c | 333$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d6…e639backed No | 79c | 306.7$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5883…2cbebacked Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e239backed Yes | 22c | 130.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 23c | 91.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fe…ca57backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…96a1backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…bd4bbacked Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fa…4bc1backed Yes | 22c | 57.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 21c | 57.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed No | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…93c4backed No | 80c | 25.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth vs. Southampton end in a draw?this page
- Will Bournemouth beat Southampton?Yes won
- Will Southampton beat Bournemouth?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.