Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton beat Bournemouth?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cf93a8de73fc60b35e5a648857a1d4b099e54e6a6bc991d9179fbb0ef65faa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 14c | 5,217$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.55 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…602bbacked Yes | 18c | 2,900$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8d…b65bbacked Yes | 16c | 2,486$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7119…7132backed Yes | 16c | 2,250$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 16c | 2,066$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.58 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Yes | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba9…87edbacked Yes | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 16c | 750.14$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.52 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e4…24abbacked Yes | 17c | 612.22$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 17c | 590$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 16c | 444$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 16c | 422$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 16c | 300$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 17c | 291.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5883…2cbebacked Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…db6abacked Yes | 16c | 186.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c67…dfa8backed Yes | 16c | 118.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 17c | 112.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…116bbacked Yes | 18c | 109.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089a…4bd5backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3362…8cb4backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 15c | 85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1563…c575backed Yes | 17c | 84.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…bd4bbacked Yes | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…29aebacked Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.36per pick | 36cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…eccabacked Yes | 17c | 76.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…2ee1backed Yes | 16c | 65.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb06…3dd0backed Yes | 18c | 62.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton beat Bournemouth?this page
- Will Bournemouth beat Southampton?Yes won
- Will Bournemouth vs. Southampton end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.