Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle beat Wolverhampton?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac830a5b49163741eb5e64d5e0152bbb5fd6c185de92c4252c17cabd0ec6ece2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 51c | 4,798$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.12 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce8…4a44backed Yes | 49c | 3,709$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked No | 52c | 2,463$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.76 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…0901backed Yes | 54c | 1,412$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.9 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe484…7c7abacked No | 3c | 1,172$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed No | 2c | 1,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 79c | 1,017$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.69 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 39c | 980.87$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.88 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 47c | 836.81$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.9 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked No | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed No | 42c | 716.45$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.85 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff25…1738backed Yes | 24c | 682.03$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.95 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +6.9wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +211.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 55c | 586$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.02 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…9e34backed No | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…a9c2backed Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Yes | 56c | 464.28$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed No | 52c | 456.68$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.47 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 52c | 420.94$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.88 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 49c | 400$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 53c | 379.66$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.22 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 53c | 340$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.52 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 65c | 307.37$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.88 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3875…1fd2backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c04…8d3cbacked Yes | 59c | 254.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…007dbacked No | 53c | 244.91$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 49c | 240.26$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.74 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 53c | 236.09$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.17 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 50c | 201$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 5c | 198.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes | 24c | 149.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…02f9backed Yes | 49c | 147.39$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.17 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed Yes | 22c | 143.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.98 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…a8bcbacked Yes | 43c | 127.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…00f3backed Yes | 58c | 120.46$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…38c0backed No | 54c | 99.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9f…af72backed Yes | 47c | 78.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 49c | 78.24$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…ee3dbacked Yes | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…c433backed Yes | 47c | 64.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 48c | 60.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…af29backed Yes | 46c | 56.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…19f0backed Yes | 47c | 55.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…f1aebacked Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…2e8ebacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…88e7backed Yes | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee2…07c3backed Yes | 24c | 43.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6817…2404backed Yes | 46c | 43.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…e097backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fe…ca57backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee56…bba5backed Yes | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed3e…21a8backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd0…09d3backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…e6f7backed Yes | 48c | 30.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…c4c4backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b8…6feebacked No | 55c | 25.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd25…03b9backed Yes | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle beat Wolverhampton?this page
- Will Wolverhampton beat Newcastle?No won
- Will Wolverhampton vs. Newcastle end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.