Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolverhampton beat Newcastle?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7959743a6cdc75590cb7bd829690667f4401cb7113b541a5b30af9a676f07327
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09af…d337backed No | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 25c | 4,839$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.66 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Yes | 25c | 3,270$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.59 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x501a…d46dbacked No | 75c | 3,270$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.59 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 73c | 1,750$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…75f5backed No | 73c | 1,656$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.65 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed No | 74c | 1,555$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.73 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 27c | 1,046$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.46 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 27c | 991.07$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.59 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Yes | 13c | 338$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 28c | 308.65$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.42 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked Yes | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed Yes | 51c | 267.35$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.35 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed Yes | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff25…1738backed Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +6.9wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +211.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 27c | 249.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…007dbacked No | 73c | 244.91$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.13 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 72c | 218.79$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…0a62backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.6wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Yes | 28c | 160$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3df3backed Yes | 28c | 145.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…fb64backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…f913backed No | 49c | 67.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed No | 72c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f2…1420backed No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…9c87backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…00f3backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…c835backed Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 74c | 19.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52d…9505backed No | 74c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolverhampton beat Newcastle?this page
- Will Newcastle beat Wolverhampton?Yes won
- Will Wolverhampton vs. Newcastle end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.