Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton beat Leicester City?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe78debc4609eb652e4e4a1d3e2964fa7c98d6bd134c3bd487fad9e679aeb5bdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 67c | 7,319$4,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.79 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 71c | 5,404$3,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.31 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 31c | 3,760$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.7 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 30c | 2,862$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.69 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed Yes | 26c | 2,579$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.38 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 34c | 1,803$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.49 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 32c | 1,111$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.52 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,000$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 79c | 932.31$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.39 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked Yes | 7c | 714$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc462…5e7abacked Yes | 31c | 521$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…97a0backed Yes | 33c | 509.09$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 34c | 499.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc5…38d9backed No | 66c | 490.59$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.8 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 34c | 333$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Yes | 12c | 291$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 31c | 222$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…7e03backed Yes | 56c | 220$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 67cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe484…7c7abacked No | 40c | 167.82$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…8fb7backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…0a62backed Yes | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.6wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…8069backed No | 76c | 106.84$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 24c | 106.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 64c | 99.86$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fe…ca57backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…246bbacked No | 50c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5697…cddfbacked No | 67c | 70.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5f…2f0dbacked Yes | 71c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b9…e864backed Yes | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 74c | 50.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f4…f9f7backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 65c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57fd…b1cfbacked No | 71c | 28.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde15…eb64backed No | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton beat Leicester City?this page
- Will Leicester City beat Everton?No won
- Will Leicester City vs. Everton end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.