Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester City beat Everton?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65c9ec98b7dcca2805f68825fa0b88d6743bf8efa89cd6480e7c2e6fb5c5bf8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 57c | 30,023$17,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,911 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 43c | 23,988$10,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,314.81 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 42c | 8,197$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,438.85 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 60c | 2,340$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.26 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 36c | 1,100$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 51c | 867.41$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.03 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 48c | 600$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.85 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 12c | 578.51$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 52c | 315$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…0039backed No | 64c | 314.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52a…feb8backed Yes | 42c | 314.29$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed No | 54c | 280.76$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3c…dc0dbacked Yes | 39c | 253.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed Yes | 42c | 226.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 60c | 222$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 58c | 201.54$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Yes | 42c | 197.77$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 61c | 135.79$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 65c | 130$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 60c | 69.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…152dbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…09a9backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…e097backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…ed1fbacked Yes | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…1cd4backed No | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester City beat Everton?this page
- Will Everton beat Leicester City?No won
- Will Leicester City vs. Everton end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.