Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester City vs. Everton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6585ec2bf693ef28c776f1ca6ffb7305ed39972e075cbfa0900b521bc5216133
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 28c | 1,144$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.36 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…246bbacked Yes | 73c | 1,012$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.59 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed No | 5c | 700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 30c | 533.33$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.83 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked No | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 70c | 483.33$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.33 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 70c | 479.22$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.46 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 71c | 269.96$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.67 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5f…2f0dbacked Yes | 69c | 188.41$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…f913backed No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…96a1backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…a6d5backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…1402backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cc…e644backed Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…3f6bbacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 70c | 23.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester City vs. Everton end in a draw?this page
- Will Everton beat Leicester City?No won
- Will Leicester City beat Everton?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.