NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb956a0e6213fe0df57d84ffa5bbbff666f1d3ddd0779b3c2976024f84b096bad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Oilers, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Lightning | 51c | 4,483$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.35 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers | 1c | 4,200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Lightning | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.98 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Oilers | 49c | 2,632$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.66 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Oilers | 49c | 2,490$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.09 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…ec66backed Oilers | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…a29cbacked Lightning | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…a557backed Oilers | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…7f76backed Lightning | 50c | 1,497$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Oilers | 48c | 1,250$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.97 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Oilers | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.76 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Lightning | 52c | 1,059$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.85 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lightning | 54c | 1,000$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.95 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Oilers | 46c | 904.73$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.18 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Oilers | 47c | 726.98$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.68 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Oilers | 50c | 704.99$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.82 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…9575backed Oilers | 51c | 690.04$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Oilers | 49c | 622.45$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…43ecbacked Lightning | 50c | 618.66$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…1e5dbacked Oilers | 50c | 618.66$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Oilers | 48c | 511$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.28 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Lightning | 50c | 500.02$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.51 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Oilers | 49c | 477.36$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.91 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Oilers | 49c | 450$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Oilers | 49c | 436$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.34 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Oilers | 48c | 406.07$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.91 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…64adbacked Lightning | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 49c | 381.32$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.32 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Lightning | 51c | 278.22$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.33 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…2c24backed Lightning | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…d9c5backed Oilers | 51c | 249.8$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…154bbacked Oilers | 53c | 228.3$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…f9b9backed Lightning | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Lightning | 51c | 205.72$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…f73ebacked Lightning | 52c | 205.54$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.66 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Oilers | 26c | 200.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad56…0e13backed Oilers | 52c | 194$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bda…639dbacked Oilers | 50c | 167$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Oilers | 49c | 149.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…f594backed Lightning | 52c | 132.17$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Lightning | 52c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0755…b1fdbacked Lightning | 52c | 120.56$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.87 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…3e1ebacked Lightning | 53c | 119.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489f…aadfbacked Lightning | 52c | 116.65$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…ce68backed Oilers | 49c | 113.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Lightning | 52c | 106.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…41b0backed Oilers | 49c | 100.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Lightning | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Lightning | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…b387backed Lightning | 52c | 99.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ef…56f0backed Lightning | 52c | 98.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9456…dd69backed Oilers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Oilers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc495…1cb0backed Lightning | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…6a22backed Lightning | 48c | 88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Oilers | 12c | 83.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Oilers | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 157 | 30.6%48 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Oilers | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Oilers | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Oilers | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…9526backed Oilers | 49c | 73.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Lightning | 51c | 68.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef93…79f2backed Oilers | 50c | 67.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…3bc1backed Oilers | 37c | 67.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a15…3b35backed Oilers | 50c | 67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7a…58c1backed Oilers | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…3593backed Lightning | 51c | 64.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a35…4e10backed Oilers | 50c | 63.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9a…46b6backed Lightning | 51c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Oilers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…4259backed Lightning | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa9…1762backed Oilers | 51c | 56.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -64%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…da41backed Lightning | 52c | 55.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5aac…9030backed Lightning | 48c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd5…ff16backed Lightning | 50c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…6d9bbacked Oilers | 49c | 50.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0498…52c5backed Oilers | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…5a2ebacked Lightning | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…b9f9backed Oilers | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8404…6febbacked Oilers | 49c | 47.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…681ebacked Lightning | 52c | 44.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bc…dcf6backed Oilers | 49c | 44.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Oilers | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc8…f329backed Lightning | 52c | 43.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Oilers | 49c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0581…4dedbacked Lightning | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa77c…cb14backed Lightning | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…f9b7backed Oilers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…cc43backed Oilers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…2901backed Lightning | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdc…248abacked Oilers | 50c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…085dbacked Oilers | 51c | 38.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa545…e692backed Lightning | 50c | 37.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lightning | 49c | 37.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa098…f430backed Oilers | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…e7fcbacked Lightning | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c55…b4bcbacked Lightning | 51c | 36.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.